New Orleans Saints(8-3 SU,5-6 ATS)at Cincinnati Bengals (2-9 SU,3-8 ATS), Week13 NFL, 1:00 p.m. EST, Sunday, December 5th, 2010, Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio. TV: Fox
by Jeff Hochman of JHSportsline.com
Betting Odds:N.O. -6.5/CIN +6.5
Over/Under Total: 46.5
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The New Orleans Saints, who arelooking to wintheirfifth game in a row, travel to Cincinnati in this week thirteen match-upto playthe Bengals, who have lost eight straight. The game will be televised on FOX. Ron Pitts will handle play by play and John Lynch is the color analyst.
Both teams enter with extra rest as both teams played on Thanksgiving. New Orleans defeated Dallas 30-27 as 4.5-point road chalk, but could have easily lost the game if Roy Williams had not fumbled on the Saints 11-yard line with aboutfour minutes to go in the game. Drew Brees then quickly drove 89 yards for the touchdown that put New Orleans back ahead with 1:55 left Thursday. Chris Ivory ran for two touchdowns and has threescores in the last two games after not registering any in his first seven career NFL games. The Saints won on Thanksgiving Day for the first time in franchise history. New Orleans hadits seven game streak of out-gaining their opponent snapped. Still, the Saints are 7-4 in the stats this season. On the flip side, the Bengals are just 4-7 ITS.
The CincinnatiBengals lost to the Jetson Thanksgiving, 26-10 as 10-point road underdogs. The Jets might have their number if you will. New York has beaten Cincinnati three times in less than a year, including the regular-season finale that got the Jets into the playoffs, then in the wild-card game the following week. Carson Palmer was harassed all day and only managed 135 yards on 17 completions. Two more interceptions has his total up to 15 this year and his QB rating is down to 78.5.
Cincinnati is “banged Up” in the secondary and that doesn’t match-up well with the aerial attack that the Saints posses. The Saints have an underrated defense and defensive coordinator Greg Williams does a great job with his blitz schemes. New Orleans has the better offense, defense, and special teams in this game. The Saints are ranked No. 8 in Special Teams while the Bengals check in at No. 21. Cincinnati will debut a new kicker in this game so keep an eye on that.
The Bengals have signed free agent Clint Stitser of Fresno State. Stitser is in his rookie season in the NFL, and has only played in one preseason game for the Seahawks, where he made on field goal attempt. He was waived by the Seahawks on Aug. 31.
The Saints and Bengals have met 11 times in the regular season, with Cincinnati holding a 6-5 edge. The Bengals have won the last three contests, but have not faced each other since 2006. The two teams first faced off in 1970, as the Saints lost 26-6 at Riverfront Stadium. The teams did not meet again for five years, when the two teams christened the Superdome for the first regular season game, 21-0 Bengals win. Three years later, the Saints recorded their first win against Cincinnati, a 17-7 win at home.
The Bengals are 10-30 SU and 14-26 ATSashomeunderdogsof 3.5 to 7 points since 1993. The Bengals are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS when playing against a winning team this season. The Saints are 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. New Orleans is9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS in all non-conference games.
Jeff’sPick to Cover the Point Spread: New Orleans Saints-6.5. The Saints are ranked 4th on offense and 7th on defense while the Bengals are ranked 22nd on offense and 16th on defense. New Orleansroared through November with three straight victories, including winning twice in a five-day stretch. As a result, the Saints are just one game out of the NFC lead in the race for the home-field advantage that served them so well last January. Take the Saints or don’t take anyone.