New York Jets vs. Washington Redskins Pick 11/17/19

by | Nov 13, 2019 | nfl

New York Jets (2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS) vs. Washington Redskins (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS)

When: Sunday, November 17th, 2019 – 1:00 PM ET

Where: FedEx Field, Andover, MD

TV: FOX

Point Spread: NYJ +1 / WAS -1 (MyBookie - 50% bonus up to $1000 in FREE wagers!)

Total: 38.5

Power Rankings: Washington -5

Takeaways From Week Ten

The Jets can rejoice after hanging their heads extra low for being Miami’s first win of the year two weeks ago and because they are the Kings of New York. Gang Green defeated their cross-city rivals, the Giants on Sunday by way of a 34-27 win against Big Blue. The Jets were kind to backers who took them as a three-point underdog, producing an outright upset.

The Redskins step into this cross-conference tilt off a bye and what will be a much-needed one at that. Previous to their week off, Washington had dropped three straight games capped off by a 24-9 defeat sustained on the road at the Buffalo Bills. The Skins were nowhere near close to covering as a 10.5-point underdog at kick-off. Washington’s only win this year came against a then-winless Miami Dolphins in a victory settled by a mere point.

How the Public is Betting the New York-Washington Game

At the moment, 56% of the consensus is on the Jets. Early action has come in New York, which took the line down by half a point to the Skins, now spotting a point.

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The Historicals

The Jets have won the last two meetings between both sides. The Redskins and Jets last met in 2015 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. New York closing as a 7.5-point favorite would continue to win and cover by a score of 34-20.

Betting Trends

The Jets have been the profitable choice in this series as of late, as they have procured a 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings between these two combatants.

Injury Concerns

Heading into the match-up between New York and Washington, there are no emergent injury concerns to key personnel.

Why We Like Washington To Cover

The Jets have yet to win a game on the road this season, and the Redskins have failed to win at home on the year. Something has to give here. I suspect that to be the Jets who some other sports betting sites would argue are extremely overvalued and as a result, have caused the Redskins to emerge as a short-sold favorite. This is where we take advantage of the likely deflated number. The Redskins have yet to find the end zone in their last three outings, but look at who they were up against three of the best defenses in the NFL in Buffalo, Minnesota, and the San Francisco 49ers (who just lost for the first time on Monday night). The Redskins have a far more reasonable match-up here against a Jets defense that sits 25th in the NFL in scoring (26.4 points per game). Washington will be able to generate a few scores here by way of a touchdown, and this will undoubtedly inject the Redskin faithful into the game and cultivate an animated environment that will help the Skins to get their first home win of the year. All we have to do is lay an itsy-bitsy point. I am quite alright with that.

Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: Washington -1

The Jets will be subjected to many Money Line plays here, trading away the point to reduce the vig and get Gang Green at +100. While this is a best practice, I do not see New York winning this game. On the flip-side, I discourage any takers from buying off that point to take Washington on the Money Line at -120. There is no need to lay extra juice when the worst-case scenario would be Washington winning by a point to force a push if they were to triumph. After all, it is not a good practice to lay extra juice on any occasion as that diminishes long-term profits from a betting perspective and requires takers to operate at a much higher win rate to be in the green. Be that as it may, Washington will win this game by a field goal at the minimum, but I could easily see the Jets laying another egg as they did in Miami two weeks ago. I could also see New York losing this affair by multiple scores. Washington will get the job done and do so convincingly. If betting on a one-win team freaks you out, consider a teaser to take the pressure off. You can move the line by as many as 19 points at 5Dimes!

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