NFL Divisional Trends

Our general opinion is that handicapping trends are for bettors who want to fill the sportsbook’s pockets. However there are some trends that are based on a bit of logic. One of the better betting trends is the after playing a certain divisional rival.

The theory is that after an emotional game against a team in their own division they may suffer a letdown in the following week or after a physically intense game they may be a little beat up going into their next match-up.

While as mentioned there is some logic to this handicapping trend we don’t recommend that you place a wager solely by this information. Instead use this information as one of the many handicapping tools that are required to make a profit betting the NFL.

Below we have listed the best and worst records of teams after playing a certain divisional opponent.


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Matchup ATS Record
Buffalo Bills after Miami Dolphins 7-28 (20.0%)
Houston Texans after Jacksonville
Jaguars
2-8 (20.0%)
Jacksonville Jaguars after Indianapolis
Colts
3-8 (27.3%)
Arizona Cardinals after St Louis Rams 6-11 (35.3%)
Dallas Cowboys after New York Giants 11-17-3 (39.3%)
Detroit Lions after Green Bay Packers 14-21 (40.0%)
San Francisco 49ers after Seattle
Seahawks
4-6 (40.0%)
Cincinnati Bengals after Baltimore
Ravens
13-19-2 (40.6%)
New York Jets after Miami Dolphins 13-19-1 (40.6%)
Atlanta Falcons after Carolina Panthers 9-13-1 (40.9%)
Denver Broncos after Kansas City Chiefs 21-14 (60.0%)
Detroit Lions after Chicago Bears 21-14 (60.0%)
Tennessee Titans after Jacksonville
Jaguars
14-9 (60.9%)
Chicago Bears after Green Bay Packers 20-12-1 (62.5%)
Dallas Cowboys after Philadelphia Eagles 22-13-1 (62.9%)
Pittsburgh Steelers after Cincinnati
Bengals
22-13 (62.9%)
Detroit Lions after Minnesota Vikings 21-12-1 (63.6%)
Cincinnati Bengals after Cleveland
Browns
9-5-1 (64.3%)
San Francisco 49ers after Arizona
Cardinals
9-5-1 (64.3%)
Philadelphia Eagles after New York
Giants
20-11-2 (64.5%)
Carolina Panthers after New Orleans
Saints
13-6-1 (68.4%)
Indianapolis Colts after Tennessee
Titans
9-4 (69.2%)
Jacksonville Jaguars after Houston
Texans
7-3 (70.0%)
Oakland Raiders after New York Jets 7-3 (70.0%)
Buffalo Bills after New England Patriots 26-8-1 (76.5%)
Baltimore Ravens after Cleveland Browns 11-3-1 (78.6%)
Cleveland Browns after Cincinnati
Bengals
12-3 (80.0%)