Philadelphia Eagles at NY Giants Odds & Predictions 11/28/21

by Collin Kemp | Last updated Nov 25, 2021 | nfl

Philadelphia Eagles (5-6 SU, 6-5-0 ATS) vs. New York Giants (3-7 SU, 5-5-0 ATS)

When: Sunday, Nov. 28th, 2021, 1:00 pm (ET)

Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

TV: FOX

Point Spread: PHI -3.5/NYG +3.5 (Opened at 3 at BetNow, who offers a 100% REAL CASH bonus up to $1000. It’s the BIGGEST bonus you’ll ever see offered by a legit online bookie!)

Total: 45.5 (Opened at 46.5)

Money Line: PHI -177/NYG +148

Power Rating: PHI -7

Key Injuries

Philadelphia Eagles: DE Josh Sweat *Questionable* (Knee), LB Davion Taylor *Out* (Knee), RB Jordan Howard *Questionable* (Knee), LB Shaun Bradley *Questionable* (Shoulder), CB Darius Slay *Questionable* (Concussion), G Jack Anderson *Out* (Hamstring), G Isaac Seumalo *Out* (Foot), G Brandon Brooks *Out* (Pectoral Strain)

New York Giants: TE Kyle Rudolph *Questionable* (Ankle), TE Kaden Smith *Questionable* (Knee), WR Kadarius Toney *Questionable* (Quad), CB Logan Ryan *Out* (Covid), FB Cullen Gillaspia *Questionable* (Calf), WR John Ross *Questionable* (Quad), WR Sterling Shepard *Questionable* (Quad)

Recent Form

After a tough 1-3 start to the season, the Eagles have improved to 5-6 after two straight wins and three of their last four. In their last game, Philadelphia got a win over the NFC contending Saints in a 40-29 final. The Eagles currently sit 2nd in the NFC East and two games back from Dallas but control their destiny as five of their last six games are against division rivals. Also worth noting is their season finale vs. Dallas, which may have big implications depending on what happens before then. The Eagles offense ranks exactly in the middle at 16th with 352.8 PPG. Their defense is slightly better at 13th, giving up 348.1 PPG.

The Giants are in the midst of another tough season sitting with a 3-7 record through 11 weeks. Last Monday night, the Giants were shut down in a 30-10 loss to Tampa Bay. The Giants would’ve most likely been held out of the end zone in that game if it weren’t for a Tom Brady interception which left them with a 5-yard field to work with. Following that loss, the Giants cut ties with Offensive Coordinator Jason Garrett after the team has ranked last in many offensive categories since Garrett stepped in last year. The Giants offense ranks 23rd with 322.8 YPG. Defensively is much of the same, with the 26th ranked defense at 375.4 YPG.

Philadelphia’s Run Game

Philadelphia started the season losing three of their first four games with the same recipe of putting the ball in Jalen Hurts’ hands and not getting enough productivity out of the passing game. As of late, the Eagles have found new life as their last three wins came behind 200+ yard rushing performances. The tandem of Miles Sanders and Jordan Howard have proven to be Philadelphia’s secret weapon that they have kept under wraps for the first half of the season. The team has also found success in QB runs for Hurts, who leads the team with 618 yards on the ground. This week as they face the Giants defense, I expect much of the same as New York allows just shy of 120 yards per game on the ground. Philadelphia’s recipe for success this week is simple: combine for over 200 yards rushing and keep the ball away from the Giants offense.

Giants Offense in Disarray

As mentioned above, the Giants fired Offensive Coordinator Jason Garrett earlier this week. Former Browns Head Coach Freddie Kitchens is expected to step up and take over the play-calling role. While Garrett certainly wasn’t the answer, I don’t expect to see Kitchens turn that offense around after seeing his lack of success in Cleveland. With Daniel Jones having yet to show he’s a lock as a long-term QB in this league and injuries to key receivers, this game may turn into a run-game battle. As of late, the Eagles have shown they are the better running team, averaging 61 more yards per game on the ground. A benchmark for the Eagles defense in this game is to hold Saquon Barkley under 100 yards on the game and the Giants offense under 150 yards rushing total. If they are able to do that, the Giants will become desperate and lean on the passing game, which will lead to Daniel Jones turnovers.

The Road Warriors

The Philadelphia Eagles oddly enough seem to look forward to road games this season as four of their five wins this season are indeed on the road. Two of these wins came in Denver and in Las Vegas, which have proven to be tough places to win as a road team. The Eagles’ defense has even made it tough on home teams to move the ball as they give up just 314.2 YPG on the road compared to 388.8 at home. Also worth noting is the Giants having a losing record at home this season at 2-3. Eagles’ fans typically travel well, so look for this game to have more of a neutral feel to it, giving Philadelphia yet another edge in this game.

The Historicals

This Sunday’s game will be the first time these NFC East rivals meet. In recent history, the Eagles have dominated the series, winning eight of the last nine matchups. Last year’s game was the Giants first win since 2016 in a 27-17 final.

How the Public is Betting the Eagles vs. Giants

71% are betting the Eagles to cover the spread.

51% are wagering on the game to go under the posted total of 45.5.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

The Philadelphia Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. NFC opponents.
The Philadelphia Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their previous seven games.
The New York Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last four games when playing a Sunday following a Monday night game.
The New York Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. NFC East opponents.
The New York Giants are 6-16 ATS in their previous 22 games as a home underdog.
The Under is 4-1 in the Eagles’ last five games.
The Under is 7-0-1 in the Giants’ last eight games as a home underdog.
The Road team is 5-1 ATS in the previous six games between these teams.

Collin’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Eagles come into East Rutherford with their playoff hopes firmly in their control. Getting back to .500 with a win on the road keeps them on the doorstep of Dallas, waiting for them to slip up. The Eagles run game should feast on the Giants defense in this one as the Giants offense looks to build a new foundation with a new offensive play-caller. Take the Philadelphia Eagles to cover the 3.5-point spread. Bet your Eagles/Giants pick and ALL your Week 12 NFL plays for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).