Seahawks vs. Vikings Total Pick 9/26/21

by | Sep 21, 2021 | nfl

Seattle Seahawks (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. Minnesota Vikings (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)

NFL Football Week 3

Date/Time: Sunday September 26th, 2021. 4:25PM (EST)

Where: U.S. Bank Stadium Minneapolis, M.N


Point Spread: SEA -1/MIN +1 ( - 35% Crytpo Reloads!)

Over/Under Total: 55.5

One of my favorite public fades for the NFL Week 3 slate will feature a match-up between the Seattle Seahawks and Minnesota Vikings inside U.S. Bank Stadium. The Seahawks suffered a heart-breaking loss last week in overtime against the Tennessee Titans. Despite leading 24-9 at half-time, the Seahawks defense imploded in the 2nd half against Titans running back Derrick Henry, who rushed for 182 yards with three touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Vikings had similar luck in their 34-33 loss to Arizona. Despite having plenty of success on offense, the Vikings had no answer for Arizona QB Kyler Murray who threw for 400 passing yards with four touchdowns. As a result, both Seattle and Minnesota enter this Week 3 pairing on Sunday in desperate bounceback scenarios.

At 0-2 SU, the Vikings are in serious jeopardy of losing control of their season. The sad truth about that scenario is that the Vikings offense is playing extremely well. QB Kirk Cousins is completing 71% passing with five touchdowns and 0 picks on the season. Running back Dalvin Cook continues to be one of the NFL’s all-around best threats in the backfield. As a result, the Vikings have posted 58 combined points through their opening two games and will get another advantageous pairing against Seattle’s defense. Still, the Vikings’ problem is the defense. By some accounts, QB Kyler Murray can make defenses look bad but let’s not forget this is the same Minnesota defense that made 2nd year Cincinnati quarterback Joe Burrow look like an All-Pro candidate in the season opener. Simply put, the Vikings have huge coverage issues, which opens the door for another dream spot for QB Russell Wilson and the Seahawks offense.

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Seahawks vs. Vikings Betting Trends

  • The Vikings are 1-8 ATS in the last nine games.
  • The Vikings have hit the “over” in five of the last five games
  • The Vikings are just 1-5 SU in the last six games
  • The Vikings have hit the “over” in eight of the last nine games at home
  • The Seahawks are 5-10 ATS in the previous 15 games
  • The Seahawks have hit the “under” in eight of the last 11 games
  • The Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in the last seven games against Minnesota
  • The Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in the last seven games on the road

Betting the total: Over 55.5

Due to both defenses’ recent struggles, oddsmakers have listed the total for this Week 3 match-up at a lofty mark of 55.5. Early betting numbers show that 66% of the betting public has sided with the under, and if that continues, we may see the overall total fall throughout the week. However, I can easily see this total being breached this weekend in another back and forth match-up. This is an absolute smash spot for QB Russell Wilson and the receiving threats of D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. It is obvious the Vikings have not found answers to the atrocious pass defense from a year ago, and I think we are seeing a lot of defense talent concerns resulting directly from QB Kirk Cousins ridiculous contract that is now mostly guaranteed.

Whatever reason you want to find, Minnesota has huge defensive issues that are not going away anytime soon. However, I don’t want bettors to think that the Vikings will be a dead duck this Sunday either. Minnesota is going to have to step up the pace offensively to counteract the defenses’ issues. We saw Minnesota pick up the pace and the downfield attempts in last week’s loss to Arizona. Despite the loss, the offense looked really good. After seeing Derrick Henry shred the Seahawks defense for 182 yards, I expect Dalvin Cook will be in for another big day. Historically when the Vikings are running the football well, the rest of the offense usually fires on all cylinders. Simply put, both offenses have tremendous match-up advantages this week, and I think we are going to see yet another high-scoring nail-biter.

Jay’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Over 55.5. Bet your Week 3 NFL picks for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you sign up for an account at MyBookie and use bonus code PREDICT100.