Seattle Seahawks (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Green Bay Packers (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
NFL Week 2
Date/Time: Sunday Night Football, September 20th, 2015, 8:25 pm EST
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wis.
by Badger, NFL Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: SEA +3.5/GB -3.5
Over/Under Total: 49
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The second week of Sunday Night Football in America on NBC will offer us all a rematch of last years NFC Championship game, when the Seattle Seahawks travel to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers.
Seattle rallied in their regular season debut last Sunday with 18 fourth-quarter points to force overtime against the St. Louis Rams, but faced with a 4th-and-short already trailing by three in OT, the Seahawks gave the ball to Beast Mode Marshawn Lynch (think they heard enough about the passing on the goal line in the Super Bowl last year) who was stopped short to give the Rams a huge 34-31 victory. Now the Seahawks will look to rebound on the road for the second week in the road as they travel to Lambeau to play a Packers team that is still thinking about blowing a 19-7 lead in last years championship game.
Green Bay took care of their longtime rival Chicago Bears, 31-23, in the regular season opener last weekend. The Packers will have no doubt circled this game on their schedule long ago in anticipation of getting the Seahawks at Lambeau Field after losing to them in their two previous meetings in the title game and in the Fail Mary game before that one.
Oddsmakers originally installed Green Bay as your standard 3-point favorites at home in this game, but most sportsbooks added the hook to make it Packers minus -3.5 shortly after the number went live. The over/under total opened at 48 and it too moved quickly up a digit to 49 at most sportsbooks taking wagers on the total.
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The offensive line problems that plagued the Seahawks in the preseason were still visible in the opener against the Rams, allowing six sacks and failing to provide a lot of running room for Lynch in the loss. Russell Wilson was solid, but by and large the Seahawks are still winless after one game because they went 1-for-4 in the red zone, settling for field goals on their of their four trips into scoring position. Seattle should be able to run against the Packers defense, which was gauged by the Bears Matt Forte and company for 189 yards last week on the ground, but only if they fix their issues along the offensive line.
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense looked like they will be just fine without their top wideout Jordy Nelson last week, with Rodgers hitting James Jones for two touchdowns even though Jones had only been a Packer again for five days. The feared Seattle defense is clearly missing a huge cog in the machine with safety Kam Chancellor still holding out, which could help running back Eddie Lacy find more space to run and turn this game into a display of two of the NFLs best power running backs.
Seattle has won three straight head-to-head matchups against the Packers dating back to the 2012 season, but prior to that the Packers had won three straight including five straight at home in Lambeau Field. Seattle is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last five visits to Green Bay.
The over has solid betting trend numbers to back up a possible play, with the over going 5-1-1 in the last seven head-to-head games and also going over in four of the last five played in the series at Lambeau.
Badgers Pick to Cover the Point Spread: I’d be all over the Packers at minus a field goal, but the hook has me following the trend on the total line – take the OVER 49.
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