St Louis Rams (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) vs. Houston Texans (2-3 SU, 0-5 ATS)
NFL Week 6
Date and Time: Sunday, October 13, 1:00pm
Where: Reliant Stadium, Houston, Tx.
TV: FOX
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: STL +7/HOU -7
Over/Under Total: 43.5
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Sunday, October 13th, the St Louis Rams will travel to
Houston to take on the AFC’s Texans. In the preseason, many thought the
Houston Texans had a shot to win the AFC and make a legit run at the Super Bowl.
It amazes me how so many teams each season fall short of expectations. So
far this season, Houston is one of those teams. They come into this game
at 2-3 overall and have yet to cover a spread this season. Houston comes
in as touchdown favorites at home. Lets take a look at some numbers and
break this game down.
Houston has been nothing short of a disappointment this season. They started out winning their first two games of the season, but since then, things have fallen apart. Just this past weekend, they were dismantled by the 49ers 34-3, and the week before that, they blew a 20 point lead to the Seattle Seahawks. Many fans in Houston are losing faith in quarterback Matt Schaub. In the last 5 quarters of football, he has thrown more touchdown passes to the opposition than he has his own team. Not only has Schaub played the worst he has in his career, but now starting tight end, Owen Daniels may be out for up to 6 weeks with a leg injury. What is really strange about this 2-3 record is that the Texans are statistically in the top of the NFL in a few major categories. Houston comes into this game ranked 1st in the NFL against the pass, 8th in rushing, and 13th in passing. The Texans put up the numbers to win, the only problem is, they just haven’t been winning. I do feel however that some people may be a little hard on the Texans. They are on a three game losing streak, but those games have been played against not only the two teams from last years Super Bowl, but the Seattle Seahawks who many feel will win the NFC this season. So although the wins have been tough to come by, its not like Houston isn’t playing the cream of the crop in the NFL. Houston needs wins, bad. How will Houston get their first win four weeks, and how will they cover their first spread of the season? Easy, OFFENSE! Houston needs to score, and score a lot. If the Texans don’t get their offense clicking against the Rams, it may be safe to say they are in for a long rest of the season. I like Houston to put up some points in this game, but you never know.
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The St Louis Rams come in at 2-3, just like the Texans, but that doesn’t mean anything to me. The Rams have not played anywhere near the schedule the Texans have. St Louis’ only two wins are against the Cardinals, and the Jaguars. Based on the numbers, I just don’t see anything that the Rams can do to compete with Houston. The Rams are 28th in the league against the run, and 29th rushing. They are also ranked right in the middle of the league in both passing yards and passing defense. There really is not much more that I can say about the Rams than I just don’t see how they can compete with a Houston team that is desperate to get themselves back on track. The key to this game for the Rams will be to simply slow down the Texans offense. This will not be easy but in order to make it a game, they will need to force Schaub to throw picks, which hasn’t been too hard to do lately. The Rams COULD pull this off, but it will take all four quarters of mistake free football.
Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Right now, over 62% of the money wagered is on the Houston Texans. Typically this makes me lean the other way, but I like Houston too. I may be sounding like a total square, but sometimes even the squares get paid. I see an angry Houston team at home putting up big numbers and taking out three weeks of frustration on the lowly Rams. The Texans defense has played well, even in these recent losses, and I don’t see that changing. I believe this game is over before the 4th quarter even comes around. Not too many NFL games end in a blowout, but this one will. Houston wins this game by 3 scores, at least. My score prediction: Houston 37 St Louis 14. PICK HOUSTON TEXANS -7
