St. Louis Rams(1-2SU, 1-2ATS) vs. Philadelphia Eagles(3-1SU,2-2ATS)
NFL Week5
Date and Time:October 5th@1:00 PM E
Where: Lincoln Financial Field
TV: Fox
byJeffHochman,Pro Handicapper, JHSportsline.com
Point Spread: Rams +7/Eagles -7
Over/Under Total: 48
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The St. Louis Rams come into this game with a 1-2 straight-up record and looking to bounce back from a sloppy effort. Two weeks ago, the Rams lost to the Dallas Cowboys 31-14 as 1.5-point home dogs, despite outgaining Dallas by 108 yards. St. Louis committed three turnovers and had 8 penalties for 119 yards. You can be sure a Jeff Fisher coached team will play much better than what they showed against Dallas. His teams also play extremely well when listed as an underdog. How about 91-62-1 ATS (59%) on the blind in all game when taking points. That’s pretty impressive considering how long Fisher has been a head coach. The Philadelphia Eagles will now have to travel back home after losing 26-21 as 3.5-point road dogs. The Eagles were outgained by 194 yards and are now 2-2 ITS (in the stats) this season. The Rams are 2-1 ITS so far this season.
The Eagles were a shaky 3-0 team heading into last Sunday. They trailed by double-digits in each of their first three games and than its offense failed to generate any points against a 49ers defense that had been struggling, especially in the second half of games. Right tackle Lane Johnson comes off suspension but the Eagles are still missing its two most dependable lineman. To say that Philadelphia has a makeshift offensive line would be an under statement. LeSean McCoy has been ineffective rushing for just 39 yards the past two weeks combined. The Rams enter this contest with the better offense and defense although the Eagles have played one more game. Still, the Eagles are ranked No. 25 in points allowed and No. 28 in yards allowed.
The Rams front seven is very good and will be pumped up knowing the Eagles offensive line is in a state of flux. Led by Robert Quinn, this group is one of the best at rushing the passer. They had 53 sacks last season and should reach that mark again this year. The Rams’ run defense is better than what they have showed against Dallas. The Cowboys have a very good offensive line, something the Eagles don’t have. Something else the Eagles don’t have is a shut-down defense. Philadelphia’s defense was on the field for 42 minutes against the 49ers, the most ever since Chip Kelly took over. And now they fly back home to face a team with two weeks to prepare.
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Jeff Fisher has faced the Eagles just one time in his career and he won 31-13 as 13-point road underdogs back in 2006. Jeff Fisher is also 21-9 ATS as underdogs of 7 points or more off a SU loss. Austin Davis is expected to start this game in place of Shaun Hill. That’s fine by me. Austin threw for over 300 yards against the Cowboys and should have similar success against this Eagles’ defense. If Shaun Hill starts this game, I still like the Rams.
The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5. The Eagles are 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games following an ATS loss. The Rams are 1-8 ATS in the last nine head-to-head meetings. I am not concerned. The Eagles are 4-14 ATS at home over the last three seasons.
Jeff’sPick to Cover the Point Spread: St. Louis Rams +7
We get 7 points with the better offense and defense. I’ll take that any day of the week.NFL teams that are 3-0 or better who suffer an initial defeat are just 6-9 SU and 3-12 ATS in their next game when facing a foe playing with a week of rest, including 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS the last nine games.
