Washington Redskins (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS) vs. Indianapolis Colts (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS)
NFL Week 13
Date and Time: Sunday, November 30, 1:00pm EST
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, IN
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: WAS +10/IND -10
Over/Under Total: 51
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Sunday on Fox, tune into an AFC/NFC game between the Washington Redskins and the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts are on the verge of winning the AFC South, while it seems the Redskins are on their way to getting a top ten draft pick this coming year. This was supposed to be a showdown of the top two quarterbacks taken in the NFL draft just a few seasons ago, but it appears that this may not be the case now. Details to come…
The line opens with the Colts as the ten point home favorite over the lowly ‘Skins. The total points are set at 51 combined. As of Tuesday night, 69% of the money was wagered on the Colts to cover the spread. Much of this I believe can be contributed to the rumor that the Redskins will be benching Robert Griffin III for this game. So far in 2014, the Indianapolis Colts are 8-3 ATS while the Redskins are 4-7.
If the Washington Redskins bench RG3 in favor of Colt McCoy, it will become apparent that the Robert Griffin III era is over in Washington. Remember, just three years ago, both of these QBs (Luck and Griffin) were the top two of their position taken in the draft. Of course, the Colts took Andrew Luck with the top pick, and Washington traded something like 4,000 future picks to get RG3. Okay, I may have exaggerated a bit with the 4,000 picks, but whatever they gave up, was far too much for this guy. Griffin is about another bad season away from being considered a “bust.” The QB position has been a train wreck all season for Washington. When RG3 first went down with an injury, many thought that Kurt Cousins was the answer, that was until that game against the Giants they lost 45-14. Ever since then, it has been QB by committee, but it has been obvious since day one that coach Jay Gruden has never really considered Robert Griffin III, “THE GUY.” At this point, I do not know what to expect in this game from Washington. If the Redskins have any hope, they will need a good game from Alfred Morris and the Redskins O-Line. The defense, who ranks among the top in all of the NFL, will need to keep playing lights out. In order to get a win in Indy, Washington MUST slow down Andrew Luck and the Colts high flying offense. If they do not… it will be a bad bad day for the tribe.
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I really like this Indianapolis team. They started 0-2, but since that time have gone 7-2 and take over the top spot in the AFC South division. The Colts, led by stud QB, Andrew Luck, boast the top passing offense in the entire NFL, averaging over 320 yards per game. Not only do the Colts pass well, they are a decent running team as well, averaging over 115 yards per game on the ground. I think this game could be an easy “W” for the Indianapolis Colts, but can they cover the 10 points? Indy will not be able to just drop back and pass pass pass all day, they need to be balanced and mix in the run as well. A heavy dose of Trent Richardson and Ahmad Bradshaw will open up the passing game to T.Y. Hilton and the rest of the Colts wide outs. If Indy can do just this, I don’t see the Redskins and Colt McCoy keeping pace.
I have often said that double digit point spreads in the NFL are the kiss of death, but in this case, I think the Redskins are on the verge of imploding. Indy has playoff and AFC title hopes, while Washington is benching their “franchise” quarterback for the guy who was 3rd on the depth chart just weeks ago. I like the Colts to come out and get a hard fought win, and yes, I like them to cover this spread late. I believe it will be a game that we see them leading by 6-7 points all the way, but in the fourth quarter they put the nail in the coffin. I like the Colts to win this game by a 28-17 score.
Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: PICK THE INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -10