Washington Redskins (1-1 SU 1-0-1 ATS) vs. St. Louis Rams (0-2 SU 1-1 ATS), Week 3 NFL Football Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO 4:05 PM EST Sunday September 26, 2010 on FOX
by Jason Green at Predictem.com
Betting Odds: Wash -3.5 /STL +3.5
Over/Under Total: 38
Bet the Skins at +16.5 by inserting them into a 20 point NFL teaser at the web’s best football sportsbook: 5Dimes.
On Sunday afternoon in a NFC match up the St. Louis Rams host the Washington Redskins. The big question in this game is, which Redskins team will show up? They played great defense in their season opening win against Dallas, but last week gave up almost 500 passing yards in their OT loss to Houston.
The Rams are 0-2 in the Sam Bradford era, but both losses have not been blowouts and there is hope for St. Louis, but maybe not this season. This season the Rams have yet to win, but they have lost their games by a total of 6 points and their defense has played well. They will have to play well in this game, as the St. Louis offense ranks 23rd in the league in passing yards per game and 25th in rushing yards per game.
Donovan McNabb had a stellar game in the loss to Houston and he may have to have another one since the Redskins’ rushing offense ranks dead last in the league averaging only 53.5 rushing yards per game.
These 2 teams met last season and in an exciting game to say the least the Redskins beat the Rams 9-7.
In their last games the Rams lost to the Oakland Raiders 16-14 and the Redskins lost to the Houston Texans in a barnburner 30-27 in OT.
The Rams are led by rookie QB Sam Bradford, who was 14/25 for 167 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT in the loss to the Raiders. He will be facing a Redskins team that gave up a ton of passing yards last week to Houston, but since Bradford is a rookie Washington will blitz him often in this game. That puts a lot of pressure on the offensive line of the Rams, which is mediocre at best and has given up 4 sacks this season and the Redskins’ D has 6 sacks.
Bradford has 4 interceptions this season and he cannot turn the ball over against the Redskins.
The Rams were only 2/10 on 3rd down conversions against Oakland and they will have to improve upon that in this game or they are in for a long day.
Rams’ RB Steven Jackson only averaged 3.9 yards per carry in picking up 75 yards against Oakland. While Washington has been torched in through the air their pass D has been solid only giving up an average of 80.5 rushing yards per game.
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Donovan McNabb leads the Redskins’ offense in the loss to Houston he blew up throwing for 426 yards and 1 TD. Santana Moss and Joey Galloway are his main targets and the Rams’ secondary has to play well and have good coverage on these guys.
McNabb will be facing a defense for the second week in a row that has issues and he will have another good game. Look for the Washington offensive line to give him time to throw and he will find his targets and move the chains and throw at least 2 TD.
The Redskins rushing attack is led by RB Clinton Portis and while he has not played great this season he will do so in this game against a Rams defense that gave up 173 rushing yards to the Raiders last week.
Washington is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games, and has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
St. Louis is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams in the NFC, and has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
In the last 6 meetings between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times.
Jason’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: The Redskins have had a knock of playing down to their opponents’ level, but they will not do that in this game. McNabb will play well again and the Redskins’ defense will show up in this game after taking last week off. Washington will move to 2-1 this season by winning this game and they will also cover the -3.5 point spread.
