Washington Redskins (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) vs. St. Louis Rams (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS)
NFL Week 2
Date/Time: 4:05 PM ET, September 16, 2012
Where: Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO
by Jason Green, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: Wash -3.5/STL +3.5
Over/Under Total: 45.5
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Could the Redskins get off to a better start to the 2012 season? I would think not, as they beat the Saints in the Big Easy in their season opener and Robert Griffin III had a great game and was the only rookie QB in the league to get a W. The Rams only lost by 4 points in their season opener, but they really struggled on offense only gaining 251 yards and only had 14 first downs. Last season the Redskins beat the Rams in St. Louis 17-10.
in their opening games to the 2012 season the Redskins beat the New Orleans Saints 40-32 while the Rams lost to the Detroit Lions 27-23.
RG3 was stellar in his debut passing for 320 yards with 2 TD and more importantly 0 INT. He looked poised in the pocket and also rushed for 42 yards. His WR’s played well and Griffin needs to avoid the turnover. The Rams had 3 picks in their loss to the Lions, but they gave up 355 yards and their pass rush only had 1 sacks. RG3 is for real and he will avoid the pass rush and have another solid game.
Not only did Griffin III shine, but fellow rookie RB Alfred Morris rushed for 96 yards with 2 TD. He is a 6th round pick and you can be sure the Skins will have a solid ground game since head coach Mike Shanahan likes to establish the run. The Rams held the Lions to under 100 rushing yards, but Lions have one of the, if not the, weakest rushing offenses in the league. The Skins rushing offense will slaughter the Lambs in this NFC match up.
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Sam Bradford has a sophomore slump last season, but it was not his fault since he has a less than stellar WR corps. That is still the case and Bradford only passed for 198 yards even though he had 1 TD. He will not have a good game against a confident Redskins’ secondary that held Drew Brees to a completion percentage below 50%.
Bradford was sacked 4 times in the Lions’ loss and the Redskins will come after him all game and the Washington pass rush played great last week constantly pressuring Brees in the pocket. The Rams are working with a new offensive line and they struggled in Week 1 and will do so again since C Scott Wells was lost until later in the season with a foot injury and T Rodger Saffold has an injured neck and is doubtful for this game.
The Redskins totally stuffed the run against the Saints holding them to only 32 yards. They will play well against the run again since Steven Jackson looks to have lost a step and he only averaged 2.5 yards per carry in Week 1.
Hard to put a lot of weight on betting trends since the Skins finally have a legit QB, but still they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Rams in St. Louis. However, the Rams have not changed that much and they are only2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and are only 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games facing a team with a winning record. The total of this game is set at 45.5 and that seems a tad high and in the last 8 games between these 2 teams the posted total has gone Under.
Jason’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: This line look a little low to you? Yeah, me too. That’s because the books know that the Rams are going to win this game straight up. They’re just dangling that field goal for you to bite on what is the nastiest trap line I’ve seen in quite some time. This Rams team is much improved and I full expect them to win this game straight up.
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