Week 17 Picks: Dallas vs. NY Giants

by | Dec 30, 2020 | nfl

Dallas Cowboys (6-9 SU, 5-10 ATS) vs. New York Giants (5-10 SU, 8-7 ATS)

NFL Football Week 17

Date/Time: Sunday January 3rd, 2021. 1:00PM (EST)

Where: MetLife Stadium East Rutherford, NJ


Point Spread:DAL -3/NYG +3 (BAS - The sportsbook that only charges -105 odds! STOP betting on games at -110 odds! It’s a complete waste of money!)

Over/Under Total: 44.5

Believe it or not, the Dallas Cowboys have a legitimate chance to make the playoffs going into week 17. Just three weeks ago, the Cowboys were 3-9 SU and had less than a 0.5% chance to make the postseason. However, thanks to 3 straight wins and the worst division in football, the Cowboys (6-9 SU) could still win the NFC East with a victory over the Giants on Sunday and a Washington loss to Philadelphia. Currently, Dallas is listed as 3 point favorites over the Giants, who recently dropped their 3rd straight loss. While it would appear the situation favors Dallas, these divisional rivalries games are never a certainty for bettors.

The Cowboys defeated the Giants 37-34 back in week 5 in the game that ended QB Dak Prescott’s season. For those that remember, backup QB Andy Dalton came off the bench to lead the 4th quarter comeback effort when Prescott went down. Dalton has been plagued with inconsistency issues throughout his NFL career. However, Dalton has been playing well with seven touchdowns and just one pick over the last three games. The Cowboys need one additional big performance from their backup quarterback, and perhaps they can pull off a miracle style playoff berth.

Cowboys vs. Giants Betting Analysis

I’m not claiming the Cowboys are agood football team by any stretch of the imagination as they will likely be a 1st round exit if they somehow pull out the NFC East crown. However, this Dallas Cowboys team is playing far better football than the Giants at this point in the season, which makes this betting line slightly confusing. The Giants’ offense is an utter mess scoring just 26 points in the last three games combined. QB Daniel Jones has thrown just one touchdown pass in his last four starts, and the entire offense has been held to less than 20 points in 5 straight games. There were moments earlier this season where it appeared backup RB Wayne Gallman would be the player to provide a spark to this offense, but even that flame has dwindled in recent weeks, with Gallman gaining just 123 yards over the last three games.

For what it is worth, the Giants’ defense has been solid despite the offense’s atrocious performances, and I would also add that the Cowboys offense has not exactly lit up the scoreboard. However, Dallas has been trending in the right direction. I mentioned Andy Dalton’s success in recent weeks with seven scores and just one pick over the last three games. After missing week 15 with a calf injury, RB Ezekiel Elliott returned to the lineup for his best performance of the season in last week’s blowout victory over Philadelphia. Collectively, this is simply a tough match-up for the Giants’ defense, especially when you consider they will need to hold Dallas to an extremely low number to pull out the victory. Unless the Cowboys give up several turnovers, I just don’t believe the Giants have much hope.

Cowboys seeking 8th straight victory over Giants

Dallas has the match-up advantage, they also have the motivational advantage with the playoffs hopes on the line, and lastly, they also have the trends advantage considering their dominance over the G-men in recent years. Despite being NFC East rivals, the Cowboys have owned the Giants with seven straight victories with an average margin of victory of 12 points. The trend over the majority of those games revolves around the Giants’ inability to create scoring opportunities. In fact, New York has been held to 18 points or less in five of the last seven meetings. I think those trends are in-play again for this week 17 match-up. As long as the Cowboys continue their momentum on offense, I think they will win this game convincingly yet again.

Cowboys vs. Giants Betting Trends

  • The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in the last seven games.
  • The Cowboys have hit the “over” in 5 of the last six games.
  • The Cowboys are just 2-8 SU in the last ten games on the road.
  • The Cowboys are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS against the Giants in the last seven games.
  • The Giants are 1-4 ATS in the last five games.
  • The Giants have hit the “under” in their last six games.
  • The Giants are 5-1 ATS in the last six games against NFC opponents.

Jay’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Dallas -3. Bet your NFL playoffs picks FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow!