Welcome to the Predictem NCAA basketball section where you will find free college basketball picks and handicapping information that is sure to make you a better handicapper and increase your odds of beating the bookie!
What you'll find here are game day predictions against the spread made by professional handicappers (at absolutely no cost to you), daily previews with analysis (while in season), articles to bolster your handicapping knowledge and advice on the best places to bet on college hoops as well. Yes, that's right, not all sportsbooks are created equal!
We also offer FREE MARCH MADNESS PICKS with analysis throughout the NCAA Tournament from beginning to end!
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Monday NCAA Basketball Championship Game: Congrats to all who have been along for the ride in what has been a very successful college hoops season! Statistically speaking, Villanova and UNC look very similar on paper. I don't believe this to be the case though... When I envision this matchup, I see North Carolina DOMINATING in the paint. Their ability to play above the rim is so far superior to Villanova. I believe the Tar Heels defense is much better as well. The Cats are vulnerable to allowing up to 50% field goal shooting. UNC will likely only allow 42% or less. While I don't think it'd be responsible as a handicapper to say a blowout is going to happen tonight, it COULD happen. I'm very confident that North Carolina wins and covers tonight. Thank you for sticking with us this season. I hope that you will consider swinging over to our baseball section as I will be handicapping small ball for the next 6 months and plan on grinding out a winning season there as well! - 4/4
Saturday: North Carolina Tar Heels -9.5 and Oklahoma Sooners +2.5. - 4/2
Friday: Tonight's CBI matchup between Morehead St./Nevada looks too easy. This is a bit concerning as generally speaking, when something looks this easy it's usually a trap. Nevada is a good home team with a 15-3 record on their own court. Their strength of schedule was tougher, they hold advantages in almost every statistical category, they were in the game AT Morehead St. and beat them by 9 at home, they play much better defense and Morehead State isn't a good road team. So why would the line open with the Wolfpack as -4.5 favorites and drop down to -3? All the while, over 70% of the action is coming in on Nevada, yet the line moves the other way? It's fishy to say the least. Let's investiage why line moves real quick... The first is that a game is getting one sided (Money flowing in huge on one team). This SHOULD cause Nevada's line to go up to -6 or -7. The second is that sharp's/betting syndicates are siding with the less popular team and the books respect their opinion. Another and what I think is the most likely scenario here is that a "head fake" is in play here. Betting syndicates are groups that move LARGE amounts of money on one side of a game. At times, they will "head fake" their action by hammering one side of the line for a huge amount of money which forces the line down. Then, they come back later and hit the other side for twice as much (or more). What they've essentially done here is lower the line to a more favorable position. It's not a common move but it does happen. I guess we'll know as gametime nears and if the spread shoots back up higher prior to tipoff. There's always a chance that it's a trap line as well. I've scoured this game high and low and can't find any reason why Nevada doesn't win this game by 6 or more points. With that being said, I wouldn't be unloading on this game. We're recommending a single unit play on Nevada at -3. I fully expect this line to go back up later in the day so grab this while it's low. - 4/1
Thursday: I was very impressed when George Washington not only didn't have a letdown after beating Florida, they went out and absolutely blasted a pretty good/well coached San Diego St. team. Valparaiso is a fundamentally sound team but who did they play this season? GW beat Virginia! The Colonials strength of schedule was a full 4 points tougher than Valparaiso's. Wrong team favored here. I'm betting the George Washington Colonials +2. - 3/31
Wednesday: Do I have any regrets laying a -280 moneyline and winning by 23 points when we could have won almost 3x more by laying the -6.5. NO! When college teams play back to back games fatigue is a variable that must be taken with serious consideration. Anything that lessens the strength of a play (especially on the road and laying points) is worth sidestepping. In most cases, the right move would have been to pass. In this case, we've been so hot and are so in tune with what's going on in college hoops because there's so few games (more time to spend digging into each game) that taking a pass wasn't in the cards. Tonight, we're in a back to back to back situation with teams playing their 3rd game in 3 nights. This is a rarity in college hoops. Oakland likes to push the ball and try to score 100 each game and Old Dominion is more methodical and relies a bit more on defense. In theory, the running team SHOULD be the higher risk to succumb to fatigue. In this case, 4 of the Monarch's key players were on the court for over 30 minutes yesterday vs. UC Santa Barbara. A few other things that really stand out here is that Oakland shoots 10% better from 3, 8% better from the line and despite both teams showing the same strength of schedule on paper, Oakland is a better road team and Oakland has taken on much stronger opponents (and hung in there) such as Virginia and Michigan St. That experience is golden. I hate siding with such a public play (public backing Oakland 73%) but all arrows point to another win and a Vegas 16 tournament championship for the Oakland Golden Grizzlies. - 3/30
Tuesday: Hopefully we'll be thanking East Tennessee St. twice within the same 24 hours as we're involving them in another play, however, we're fading them tonight. We're riding the Oakland moneyline at -280. All of tonight's games have very tight lines and too many unstable variables to roll with a spread bet. We're pretty sure Oakland wins straight up here, but are never comfortable laying points so are making a rare moneyline favorite play. Big moneyline favs aren't a very wise decision as if this game loses, a guy has to win 3 straight spread bets in a row to break even. There is however a time and a place for such a bet and it's today. After watching last night's game, it was very clear to me that ETSU is very vulnerable to good guard play and they'll be up against it tonight facing one of the better guards in small college basketball. ETSU played well last night but showed their hand while blowing a couple of big leads. In all candidness, Louisiana Tech played BAD for most of the game. Furthermore, they're in a potential letdown spot here as this was a big emotional win for the team and they played late into the night which opens up the door for fatigue. Yes, Oakland only played 2.5 hours prior to East Tenn. St., but that could be a difference maker. - 3/29
Monday: Today blesses us with yet another opportunity in which the wrong team is favored. While there are no such things as locks in sports betting, this game offers great value and we consider it a strong play. East Tennessee State/Louisiana Tech go at it in Vegas in an 8 team single elimination tournament at the Mandalay Bay Resort. The game opened with La. Tech as -1 point favs and has gone up to -2.5. The line move has been driven by public money as the squares are hitting on the Bulldogs at a whopping 72%. This is a bit surprising as East Tennessee St. comes in healthier, shoots the ball better (especially from long range), plays better D, has a higher strength of schedule and is older/more experienced than their opponent. Whether it be that L.T. has a more recognizable name or that their star player has a fat stat line, they are unfustifiably getting all the action and ETSU is getting no respect, a spot we LOVE to side with! We're recommending an 80% play on East Tennessee St. at +2.5 and a 20% play on the ETSU moneyline at +125. - 3/28
Sunday: (ND vs. UNC) This will be the 3rd matchup of the year between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and North Carolina Tar Heels. UNC thumped ND just two weeks ago (on a neutral court) in the ACC tournament by a score of 78-47. In the first matchup between these teams, ND won on their home floor, however, they only gave gave up two turnovers and only won by 4 points. They were outplayed but managed to get to the line a whopping 38 times which is far from normal and will not happen today.
Offensive rebounds and turnovers should be the difference here and the Tar Heels should dominate in both categories. In their last matchup, UNC outrebounded ND by 18 (49-31), they outboarded them on the offensive end 18-5 and crushed them in the turnover battle 17-10. UNC is great in transition so these numbers (or even lesser) spell disaster for ND. Another bad sign for ND is that they've been weak in the first half of their tournament games. They were down 41-29 at the half vs. Michigan, were only up by 1 vs. Stephen F. Austin and down by 4 to Wisconsin. They've been down in the 2nd half of all 3 games. While ND did come back and win all 3 games, the "Comeback Kids" mantra isn't going to fly vs. UNC who plays way better defense than ND's previous 3 opponents. A first half play on UNC is definitely worth a look.
ND is offensively challenged at times which plays right into the hands of a NC team that is playing GREAT defense and that is only allowing 38.4% from the field over their last 5 games. Expect a couple/few good runs from the Tar Heels in which they break the game wide open.
ND couldn't have asked for an easier schedule to get into the elite 8 as they beat Michigan by 7, Stephen F Austin by 1 and Wisconsin by 5. In doing so, they only scored 70, 76 and 61 points. Against AVERAGE teams. Against the best defense they'll have seen in the tourney, we're forecasting them to score in the high 60's with a ceiling of 70. We expect the Heels to put up at least 85+, which makes this a GREAT value play. It's a bit odd to see a blowout this deep into the tournament, but it COULD happen. There will be a lot of broken hearts today as the public is backing the Irish and the reason the line has dropped from +10 to +9. Take the North Carolina Tar Heels to win and cover the -9 and I'll see you at the Cashier's Cage!
Free Printable March Madness Bracket: 2016 March Madness Tournament Bracket
Saturday: Oklahoma Sooners +2. Both of today's March Madness games are great matchups where it's really difficult to determine a clear-cut winner. This play barely qualified as a pick so if you're looking for an easy winner, this ain't it. This play is solely based on guard play and SOS (strength of schedule). The Ducks are a good team, however, their Pac 12 opponents simply aren't as strong as the teams that the Sooners have faced this season. More importantly, guard play is HUGE in college basketball. A good college hoops guard can take over and control a game. Buddy Hield is no joke. We're looking at a future NBA all star here. I look for him to hog the ball bigtime today and put up giant numbers tonight vs. the Ducks. Lastly, if the Ducks have a weak spot it's road play. I don't see a big margin here, but do believe the Sooners win this game straight up. I'd throw 80% on the +2 spread and 20% on the moneyline to get a taste of the good stuff! Good luck and enjoy your Saturday. It's a great day to be alive! - 3/26
Friday: Syracuse Orange +4.5. We hear the media chirping about how Gonzaga is peaking at the right time having won 7 games in a row and by a margin of 14+ points but who have they played? Their schedule this year was fairly weak. If I told you I was 28-7 in boxing, but most of my opponents were 12 year olds, it's not quite as exciting lol. Syracuse took on quality opponents all season long. Strength of schedule is always something you should give serious consideration to when betting on college sports. Throw in the fact that the Zags will be facing a zone defense that they'll be completely unfamiliar with as nobody in the WCC plays that style of D and you've got a potential disaster here. The wrong team is favored. It should be Syracuse favored by 4.5. We love the Cuse to win this game straight up tonight. We recommend putting 67% of your wager on the spread at +4.5 and the remaining 33% on the moneyline at +185 so you can get a taste of the good stuff. - 3/25
Thursday: Oklahoma Sooners -3. Nice letdown spot here for a TAMU team that may have blown their load during their miracle comeback/win. Letdowns are for real and this is a PRIME spot for one. Even if that variable doesn't come into play, the Sooners guard play is too strong. I like the Sooners to win by 10+ and that's saying a lot because as you know, I hate wagering on favs! - 3/24
Wednesday: Florida Gators +2. This team appears motivated to win the tournament. Florida's strength of schedule makes their numbers look worse than they actually are. GW has looked suspect on defense lately as well. The game will probalby be close throughout but we believe the Gators win straight up here. - 3/23
Tuesday: Valparaiso Crusaders on the moneyline at -155. - 3/22
Monday: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +3.5. - 3/21
Sunday: Syracuse Orange -6. - 3/20
Saturday March Madness Pick: Virginia Cavaliers -7.5. -3/19
Friday: Xavier Musketeers -13. - 3/18
Thursday: Fresno St. Bulldogs +9. - 3/17
Wednesday: Virginia Tech Hokies -3.5. - 3/16
Tuesday: Vanderbilt Commodores +3.5. - 3/15
Monday: Passing. - 3/14
Sunday: Texas AM +4 and Purdue +5. - 3/13
Saturday: Virginia Cavaliers +2.5. - 3/12
Friday: Nevada +7.5, Nebraska +8 and Cal St. Bakersfield -11.5. - 3/11
Thursday: Nebraska Cornhuskers +6. - 3/10
Wednesday: Washington State Cougars +9.5. - 3/9
Tuesday: Sacramento State Hornets +2.5. - 3/8
Monday: Pepperdine Waves +7.5. - 3/7
Sunday: Maryland Terrapins +5. - 3/6
Saturday: Portland Pilots +15.5. - 3/5
Friday: Delaware Blue Hens +7. - 3/4
Thursday: UMass +10. Get this one quick as we believe the line is going to drop. - 3/3
Wednesday: St. Bonvaventure +3.5. - 3/2
Tuesday: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +13. - 3/1
Monday: Tennessee-Chatanooga/VMI OVER 144 points scored. - 2/29
Sunday: Colorado St. Rams +2.5. - 2/28
Friday: Rider Broncs +9.5. - 2/26
Thursday: Stanford Cardinal at a pick'em. - 2/25
Wednesday: Wyoming Cowboys +4.5. - 2/24
Tuesday: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +12.5. - 2/23
Monday: Kansas State Wildcats -1. - 2/22
Sunday: Washington State Cougars +10. - 2/21
Saturday: Georgia Southern Eagles +5.5. - 2/20
Friday: Yale Bulldogs +3. - 2/19
Thursday: We fell victim of one of the "flukier" games you'll ever see in which Auburn had shot 29%, 23% and 25% in their last 3 games and low and behold they come out AT Arkansas and shoot 61% from the field, 65% from 3 and lose the turnover battle 21-12 and win straight up. Surely one of the bigger head scratchers you'll ever see. If you're going to handicap college hoops (or any sport for that matter), these type of clunkers are going to happen. You can't have a conscience. We have to put it behind us and move on. We don't celebrate blowouts and we don't get down about bad losses. ONWARD! Today we like the Portland Pilots at +10. The Gaels haven't scored more than 68 points in their last 5 games. Portland is extremely efficient from 3 at home and is more than likely to stay within the number here. - 2/18
Wednesday: Arkansas Razorbacks -15.5. We're forecasting a win here with a low floor of 17 points and a ceiling of 29. - 2/17
Tuesday: Texas Longhorns on the moneyline at -145. - 2/16
Monday NCAAB: Quinnipiac Bobcats +15 and Morgan State Bears +10. - 2/15
Sunday: Minnesota Golden Gophers +19.5, USC Trojans +9.5 and Niagra Purple Eagles +9.5. - 2/14
Saturday: Brown Bears +4. - 2/13
Friday: Rider Broncs +4.5, Arizona St. Sun Devils +1 and Brown Bears +6.5. - 2/12
Thursday NCAAB Pick: San Francisco Dons +8. - 2/11
Wednesday: Marquette Golden Eagles +1.5. Get it fast as I expect this line to drop as it gets closer to tip-off. - 2/10
Tuesday: Ole Miss Rebels +9. - 2/9
Monday: VMI +12. - 2/8
Sunday: Passing. - 2/7
Saturday: Air Force +11.5, New Mexico +5, Fresno St. +2.5, San Diego +13.5, Cal Poly SLO +3.5, Northern Arizona +4.5, Southern Utah +10.5. - 2/6
Friday: Man oh man did we get snake-bit yesterday. Southern Utah had HUGE value as Idaho was coming in missing their top 2 players. Low and behold, Southern Utah suspends their top two scorers prior to tip for a violation of team rules. Absolutely Sickening! Today we're doubling up, laying 2.2 units to win 2 units on Dartmouth at +1. (Not to chase losses, but because it's a solid play) - 2/5
Thursday: Southern Utah +2. Get on this one fast as it's likely the line will drop closer to tip-off. - 2/4
Wednesday: Cal State Northridge +5. - 2/3
Tuesday: Rider Broncos on the Moneyline at -125. - 2/2
Monday: Northern Kentucky Norse +6. - 2/1
Sunday: South Florida +8. - 1/31
Saturday: Pacific Tigers +11.5, Pepperdine +11 and San Diego State +4. - 1/30
Friday: Northern Kentucky +8. - 1/29
Thursday: Southern Utah +5.5. - 1/28
Wednesday: There is a lack of value on today's slate so we're forced to pass. It sucks to take a day off in the middle of a heater but it's the right move. - 1/27
Tuesday: West Virginia Mountaineers -10.5. - 1/26
Monday: Miami Hurricanes on the moneyline at -175. - 1/25
Sunday: We got bunched up badly with football stuff this morning so didn't have time to handicap today's card. There are very few games left so we're going to take a pass. - 1/24
Saturday: San Diego Toreros +5.5 and Pepperdine Waves +2.5. - 1/23
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