The Setup: Grizzlies at Kings
Sacramento is laying 2 points at home on Wednesday night, a number that feels more like a reflection of “who is left” than “who is better.” The Kings enter on a brutal nine-game skid and a 12-39 overall record, but they’re catching a Memphis squad that just hit the detonator on their season. The Grizzlies (19-29) traded cornerstone Jaren Jackson Jr. to Utah yesterday, and with Ja Morant and Zach Edey officially sidelined, Memphis is rolling out a “retooling” lineup.
The market has this at a near coin-flip because both teams are fundamentally broken right now. Sacramento’s -10.2 plus/minus is the worst in the West, while the Grizzlies are missing nearly 60 points per game of their usual production. This isn’t about elite basketball—it’s about finding the edge in a matchup of two depth-depleted rosters where rebounding and fresh trade acquisitions like Walter Clayton Jr. could decide the spread.
Game Info & Betting Lines
- Date & Time: February 4, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
- Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
- TV: NBC Sports CA, FDSSE, NBA League Pass
Current Betting Lines (MyBookie.ag):
| Market | Memphis Grizzlies | Sacramento Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.0 (-110) | -2.0 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +104 | -127 |
| Total | Over/Under 230.5 (-110) | |
Why This Line Exists
The 2-point spread exists because the Kings are home and the Grizzlies are in total flux. However, the Kings are officially without Domantas Sabonis (back) and Keegan Murray (ankle) tonight. Without them, Sacramento loses its rebounding identity and its best interior defender.
Memphis is a mystery box following the JJJ blockbuster. While Taylor Hendricks and Kyle Anderson aren’t expected to suit up yet, the Grizzlies still carry a season-long rebounding advantage of nearly 5 boards per game. The total has ticked up to 230.5, suggesting oddsmakers expect a high-scoring, “defense-optional” affair given that the primary rim protectors for both sides are unavailable.
Grizzlies Breakdown: The New Era
The Grizzlies just snapped a slide by beating Minnesota on Monday, a game where Ty Jerome looked like a star with 19 points and 7 assists. With Morant and Jackson gone, Jerome becomes the primary engine of the offense. Memphis still generates 28.9 assists per game (3rd in the NBA), and that unselfishness should help their younger wings like Cedric Coward find open looks against a leaky Kings perimeter.
Kings Breakdown: The Nine-Game Nightmare
Sacramento is reeling. Nine straight losses and a bottom-tier defense have the Kings in a tailspin. Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan will be forced to play heavy minutes and carry the scoring load, but without Sabonis to anchor the middle, the Kings are vulnerable to being bullied in the paint. Rookie Maxime Raynaud will likely get the start at center, but he faces a tough task against a Memphis frontcourt that still prioritizes the glass.
Bash’s Best Bet
I’m taking the Grizzlies +2. Sacramento has lost nine in a row for a reason—they are a bettor’s nightmare. Laying points with a Kings team missing Sabonis and Murray is a losing proposition. Memphis is playing with “house money” and young legs like Ty Jerome and Santi Aldama who are fighting for future roster spots. The Grizzlies’ ball movement should carve up a Kings defense that has essentially quit over the last two weeks.
BASH’S BEST BET: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (2 Units)
