Joe Jensen

Baz’s strikeout dominance over Littell’s home run vulnerability creates a pitching mismatch the -144 price hasn’t captured. The pick is inside.

Ashcraft’s command advantage meets Nola’s elevated WHIP in a pitching mismatch the market undervalues. The breakdown is inside.

The bullpen gap between these teams matters less than the starter mismatch brewing here. The moneyline at -174 prices the Dodgers like April’s dominance, not May’s offensive explosion that produced 15 runs. The pick is inside.

Guaranteed Rate Field’s pitcher-friendly environment amplifies the gap between Bubic’s strikeout arsenal and Kay’s control issues. The run line at +122 for Kansas City assumes these teams are closer than the starter profiles show. The full read is inside.

Sale’s 10.3 K/9 rate outclasses Brown’s small sample brilliance — find out which way this one goes.

Washington’s .736 team OPS towers over Cincinnati’s .684 mark during the Reds’ brutal eight-game slide. The analysis is inside.

Suarez’s 0.95 WHIP faces Luzardo’s volatile 5.98 ERA at plus money. The pick is inside.

McGreevy’s 2.18 ERA faces Lopez’s 6.11 mark with a nearly four-run starter quality gap. The full read is inside.