Joe Jensen breaks down Friday’s Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles preseason Week 3 finale with a spread play on the Bengals as road dogs, backed by their 2-0 preseason and the QB matchup edge.
Joe Jensen
Giants vs Jets Preseason Picks, Odds & Prediction for Friday, August 28
Joe Jensen breaks down Friday’s New York Giants at New York Jets preseason Week 3 finale with a spread play on the Jets, backed by a 4.5-point line swing and Geno Smith’s dominant Week 2 performance.
Buccaneers vs Jaguars Preseason Picks, Odds & Prediction for Friday, August 28
Joe Jensen breaks down Friday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars preseason Week 3 finale with a spread play on the Jaguars, backed by their domination of both joint practices this week.
Falcons vs Dolphins Preseason Picks, Odds & Prediction for Friday, August 28
Joe Jensen breaks down Friday’s Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins preseason Week 3 matchup with a spread play on the Falcons, backed by Kevin Stefanski confirming his starters will play.
Commanders vs Ravens Preseason Picks, Odds & Prediction for Friday, August 28th
Joe Jensen breaks down Saturday’s Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens preseason Week 3 finale with a spread play on the Ravens at home, backed by their undefeated preseason and line movement.
Brewers vs. Mets Pick: Misiorowski’s 1.68 ERA Meets a Gutted Lineup
Citi Field’s 0.97 park factor leans pitcher-friendly — and that’s before Jacob Misiorowski (1.68 ERA, 0.76 WHIP) takes the ball against a Mets lineup stripped of Soto, Vientos, and Polanco. The total is posted at 7.0 with the under sitting at near even money (-103), a price that treats this like a balanced run environment when the matchup says otherwise. See how this one plays out.
Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction: Cabrera’s 5.60 ERA Meets Oracle Park
The bullpen gap between these two teams is real, but the bigger separation lives in the rotation — Roupp’s recent 3.58 ERA over 32.2 innings versus Cabrera’s 5.60 ERA is not noise. The moneyline is sitting at -114 Diamondbacks and -106 Giants, treating a legitimate pitching mismatch like a 50/50 proposition. The full read is inside.
Dodgers vs. Braves Pick: Yamamoto and Sale Make the Under Price Look Wrong
Sale’s 36.1% slider whiff rate and Yamamoto’s 35 walks in 151.2 innings form one of the stingiest starter combinations on the slate. The under at +104 is positive money on a matchup featuring two sub-2.70 ERA arms at a park with a 1.01 factor — the price hasn’t caught up to the talent on the mound. The breakdown is inside.
Astros vs. Yankees Pick: Cole’s 9.71 K/9 Makes 8.0 Look Generous
Wesneski vs. Cole is a clearer mismatch than the 8.0 total implies. The Under is sitting at -102 — near-even money on an ace-anchored game against an offense posting a -48 run differential over its last stretch. The edge is explained inside.
Rockies vs. Nationals Prediction: Hughes’ 6.54 ERA Changes the Coin-Flip Math
Hughes’ 6.54 ERA and lack of a consistent out-pitch put him at a structural disadvantage against a Nationals lineup carrying a .753 OPS and 186 home runs. The moneyline is sitting at Nationals -119 — near coin-flip pricing for a matchup where the starter profiles diverge more sharply than that. The pick is inside.