Joe Jensen breaks down Saturday’s New Mexico State at Florida State Week 0 college football matchup with a spread play on the Seminoles at home, backed by Mike Norvell’s historical dominance in these exact spots.
Joe Jensen
Hawaii vs Stanford College Football Picks, Odds & Prediction for Saturday 8/29
Joe Jensen breaks down Saturday’s Hawaii at Stanford Week 0 college football matchup with a spread play on the Rainbow Warriors, backed by Stanford’s historically bad pass defense and Micah Alejado’s development.
Sacramento State vs Eastern Michigan College Football Picks & Prediction
Joe Jensen breaks down Saturday’s Sacramento State at Eastern Michigan Week 0 college football matchup with a spread play on the Hornets in their FBS debut.
Jacksonville State vs North Dakota State College Football Picks & Prediction For August 29th
Joe Jensen breaks down Saturday’s Jacksonville State at North Dakota State Week 0 college football matchup with a spread play on the Gamecocks getting the points in Fargo.
Dodgers vs. Braves Pick: Sasaki vs. Smith-Shawver Is Not a Fair Fight
Sasaki vs. Smith-Shawver is a clearer mismatch than the Dodgers -124 moneyline implies. Smith-Shawver’s 6.23 ERA and .784 xwOBA on his sinker walk into an Ohtani-led order that punishes exactly that kind of contact — and the line hasn’t moved to reflect it. The edge is explained inside.
Rams vs Chargers Preseason Picks, Odds & Prediction for Thursday, August 27
Joe Jensen breaks down Thursday’s Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Chargers preseason Week 3 Battle of LA with a spread play on the Rams, backed by their undefeated preseason and value on the number.
49ers vs Raiders Preseason Picks, Odds & Prediction for Thursday, August 27
Joe Jensen breaks down Thursday’s San Francisco 49ers at Las Vegas Raiders preseason Week 3 finale with a spread play on the Raiders at home, backed by significant line movement and the 49ers’ upcoming international trip.
Rockies vs. Nationals Prediction: A 162-Run Differential Gap at -124
The bullpen gap between the Rockies and Nationals is grounded in real numbers — Washington’s staff carries a 4.66 ERA and 1.38 WHIP against Colorado’s 5.55 ERA and 1.52 WHIP, and with both starters likely gone early, that difference matters. The Nationals are priced at -124 on the moneyline, which is a modest surcharge for a team sitting at +18 on the season against one sitting at -144. The side is inside.
Red Sox vs. Marlins Pick: Gray’s Arsenal Meets a Dome That Suppresses
Gray vs. Gusto is a clearer mismatch than the posted total of 7.5 implies. The under is sitting at -102 — essentially coin-flip juice on a game anchored by a 16-win ace with a 2.79 ERA in a dome with a sub-1.0 park factor. The full read is inside.
Patriots vs Browns Preseason Picks, Odds & Prediction for Thursday, August 27
Joe Jensen breaks down Thursday’s New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns preseason Week 3 matchup with a spread play on the Patriots, backed by significant line movement and Cleveland’s offensive struggles.