Joe Jensen

Castillo’s split-finger generates 42.0% whiffs despite his struggles — the +123 run line undervalues Seattle’s edge. The full read is inside.

Kochanowicz’s knuckle curve dominates while Corbin’s fastball sits at 90.7 mph. Find out which way this one goes.

The bullpen gap between these two teams is real — Pittsburgh’s relief group has been steadier over the last two weeks. The moneyline at -120 isn’t reflecting that late-inning advantage when combined with superior starting pitching. The pick is inside.

Wrigley Field amplifies the gap between Imanaga’s elite control and Luzardo’s struggles. The analysis is inside.

Bubic vs Baz is a clearer mismatch than the current moneyline implies. The -131 price treats Kansas City like modest chalk when the strikeout gap and Baltimore’s missing lineup pieces suggest more separation. Find out which way this one goes.

Gil’s home run issues against Early’s 2.29 ERA creates a pitching mismatch. The breakdown is inside.

The bullpen gap between Atlanta and Washington runs deeper than Griffin’s solid start numbers suggest. The moneyline at -143 isn’t reflecting that systematic pitching advantage the Braves carry. Find out which way this one goes.

loanDepot park’s dome environment favors Paddack’s changeup over May’s declining velocity. The pick is inside.

Montero’s control metrics and Detroit’s recent surge face Milwaukee’s depleted offense in a mismatch the -102 line undervalues. The pick is inside.