Air Force at Wyoming Analysis & Prediction ATS

by | Last updated Feb 17, 2023 | cbb

Air Force (13-14 SU 17-8 ATS) vs. Wyoming (8-17 SU 10-13 ATS)
When: Friday, February 17th: 10:00 ET
Where: Arena-Auditorium Laramie, WY
Point Spread: AF +4.5/UW -4.5
Total: 133.5
Money Line: Air Force Falcons +165/Wyoming Cowboys -203

The Air Force Falcons travel to Laramie, WY, to take on the Wyoming Cowboys in a battle of bottom-feeding teams from the MWC. The oddsmaker has the host Cowboys as a -4.5 point favorite, with the total line set at 130. Read on to get some key metrics on the game and Crew’s Air Force at Wyoming pick.

Line Movement

The money is flooding in on the Cowboys, driving the line all the way up to -5.5 after originally opening as low as -4 at some sportsbooks. Depending on where you bet, this line has dropped to as low as 130.5 after opening three points higher at 133.5 on many boards.

Last Game Info

Air Force most recently fell to Utah State (80-65). Not only did the Falcons lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +13.5 point underdogs. The combined 145 points finished above the 139 total line.

Wyoming will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated New Mexico by a score of 70-56. The Cowboys also picked up an ATS victory as they were +9.5 point underdogs. The combined 126 points did not surpass the 148.5 total line.

Current Form

Air Force
Over their last five games, Air Force has a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Falcons’ offense averages 62.2 points per game while hitting 46.5% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 49.2% from the field while allowing 71.4 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Wyoming is 2-3 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 68.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.1%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 43.5% of their shots while giving up 69.2 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Air Force’s opponents comes in at xxx. On the other side, Wyoming’s combined opponent power rating sits at xxx.

How Does Air Force Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Falcons have played ten road games and have a record of 3-7. In these contests, Air Force is 5-3 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 62.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.1%. On defense, the Falcons allow 70.3 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 46.7% in these games.

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How Does Wyoming Fare At Home?

In their 16 games at home, Wyoming has a 7-7 record vs. the spread while going 7-9 straight-up. On offense, the Cowboys are shooting 45.5% on their home floor, leading to 71.9 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 44.3% in these contests. The Wyoming defense is allowing 69.6 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Air Force is averaging 59.0 points per game (466th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.6%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Wyoming defense that has allowed an average of 71.4 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 45.9% of their shots vs. Wyoming. On the other side, the Wyoming Cowboys are coming into the game averaging 73.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.8%. The Cowboys will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.0 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 44.6% of their shots vs. the Falcons.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Air Force has a shooting percentage of 33.3% while ranking 385th in attempts per game. The Falcons will be facing a Wyoming defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 36.7%. Wyoming enters the game having hit 34.3% of their looks from deep while averaging 8.15 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Air Force has allowed opponents to hit 29.9% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Air Force

  • Nikc Jackson (Out) Illness
  • Lucas Moerman (Out) Shoulder
  • Jeffery Mills (Questionable) Head


  • Kenny Foster (Out) Back
  • Graham Ike (Out) Redshirt
  • Noah Reynolds (Out) Concussion

Pick Against The Spread

Wyoming finally faced an opponent that they could handle defensively and crushed New Mexico 70-56 on the road. They return home to take on an equally offensively challenged Air Force team. The Falcons won rode a big second half to win by seven on their home court, but keep in mind WY Guard Hunter Maldonado missed the match (14.4 PPG). It’s a lot to lay, but the home court and Maldonado should have them on top. Plus, this may be the last realistic chance at picking up another home win for the Cowboys, so that should have them fully motivated. Take Wyoming -5.5.