DePaul vs. Providence Analysis & Free Pick

by | Jan 21, 2023 | cbb

DePaul (9-10 SU 9-8 ATS) vs. Providence (14-5 SU 11-8 ATS)
When: Saturday, January 21st: 2:00 ET
Where: Amica Mutual Pavilion Providence, RI
TV: FS1
Point Spread: DEPAUL +9.5/PROV -9.5
Total: 146.5
Money Line: DePaul Blue Demons +366/Providence Friars -493

The DePaul Blue Demons will look to continue their improved play when they travel to Rhode Island to take on the Providence Friars on Saturday afternoon. The college baseball betting board has the host as a -9 favorite with a total line of 146.5. The tip-off for the match at the Dunkin Donuts Center is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET.

Line Movement

This game opened with Providence as a huge -11.5 favorite but has slid to -9.5 under public and some sharp action on DePaul. The total hit the board at 148 and has moved lower to 146.5.

Last Game Info

DePaul will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Xavier by a score of 73-72. The Blue Demons also picked up an ATS victory as they were +8.5 point underdogs. The combined 145 points did not surpass the 158 total line.

Providence most recently fell to Marquette (83-75). Not only did the Friars lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +7.5 point underdogs. The combined 158 points finished above the 150.5 total line.

Current Form

DePaul
Over their last five games, DePaul has a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-1-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Blue Demons’ offense averages 68.8 points per game while hitting 42.6% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 43.5% from the field while allowing 72.0 points per contest.

Providence
In their previous five contests, Providence is 3-2 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 74.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.3%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 44.3% of their shots while giving up 71.2 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of DePaul’s opponents comes in at 79.7. On the other side, Providence’s combined opponent power rating sits at 77.4.

How Does DePaul Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Blue Demons have played nine road games and have a record of 2-7. In these contests, DePaul is 4-4 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 65.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 38.0%. On defense, the Blue Demons allow 74.3 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 45.8% in these games.

How Does Providence Fare At Home?

In their 11 games at home, Providence has a 6-5 record vs. the spread while going 10-1 straight-up. On offense, the Friars are shooting 47.5% on their home floor, leading to 84.4 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.8% in these contests. The Providence defense is allowing 68.7 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, DePaul is averaging 73.3 points per game (135th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.4%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Providence defense that has allowed an average of 69.1 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.8% of their shots vs. Providence. On the other side, the Providence Friars are coming into the game averaging 71.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.7%. The Friars will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 74.6 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 44.7% of their shots vs. the Blue Demons.

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Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, DePaul has a shooting percentage of 31.8% while ranking 447th in attempts per game. The Blue Demons will be facing a Providence defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 32.5%. Providence enters the game having hit 34.3% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.3 made 3’s per game. On the other end, DePaul has allowed opponents to hit 34.8% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

DePaul

  • Nick Ongenda (Out) Hand
  • Jalen Terry (Doubtful) Illness
  • Ahamad Bynum (Out) Suspension

Providence

  • Jared Bynum (Questionable) Abdominal

Pick Against The Line

This is a huge line, and while I like Providence without knowing the status of Jared Bynum (18 points in the last meeting), I can’t play either side. The Friars’ defense hasn’t been as strong in the last three (two on the road), but I think they will get it back in order with the return home. They held the Blue Demons to just 59 points in the earlier meeting on the road at the Wintrust Arena, and anything close to that number gets the Under. Take the Under 146.5.