Iowa State vs. Baylor CBB Prediction ATS

by | Mar 5, 2022 | cbb

Iowa State Cyclones (20-10 SU, 16-14-0 ATS) vs. Baylor Bears (25-5 SU, 16-13-1 ATS)

When: Saturday March 05 2022, 6:00 PM PM (ET)

Where: Ferrell Center

Point Spread: Iowa State 12/Iowa State -12 (WagerWeb - This outfit lets you tease basketball games up to 20 points!)

Total: 132

Money Line: Cyclones 590/Baylor -910

Key Injuries

Iowa State
Iowa State has no reported injuries at this time

Baylor
LJ Cryer: Foot (OUT)
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua: Knee (OUT)
Langston Love: Knee (OUT)

Recent Form

The Iowa State Cyclones come into this matchup with an overall record of 20-10. On the season, the Cyclones have struggled in Big 12 action. Through 17 games, the Cyclones are 6th in the conference with a record of 7-10. However, they have managed to put together an above .500 record when playing on the road. Through 30 road contests, Iowa State has a record of 6-5. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 4-1.

The Baylor Bears get set to host the Cyclones with an overall record of 25-5. On the season, the Bears have performed well in their 17 conference games, posting a record of 13-4. This mark is good for 1st in the Big 12. In addition to playing well in the Big 12, Baylor has performed well at home. Through 16 games, the Bears are 14-2 at home. Heading into this matchup, the Bears are looking to stay hot as they try to add on to their current 4 game win streak.

For the season, the Iowa State Cyclones are averaging 67.3 points per game, good for a rank of 255th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Cyclones’ scoring average drops to 63.0. The team’s defensive performance also takes a hit when playing away from home, giving up an additional 6.0 points per game. On the other side, the Baylor Bears are the 29th ranked scoring offense, averaging 76.9 points per game. So far, Baylor is scoring an additional 4.0 points per game when playing at home. The Bears has also played better defense in their home arena, giving up 59.0 points per game, compared to their season average of 63.2

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Efficiency Outlook

Baylor enters this matchup vs Iowa State, having played 19 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 18-1. Through 30 games, the Bears are averaging 76.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 76.0 for the Bears. In these situations, Baylor has an average scoring margin of 20.0 points. Until this point, the Cyclones have not played a game in which they were the inferior team on both ends of the court. In terms of offensive efficiency, Baylor is averaging 76.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 68.0 for the Cyclones.

For the year, the Cyclones are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 30.2%. On the other side, the Bears have been a more balanced scoring unit, with 31.6% of their scoring coming from downtown. In terms of efficiency, Baylor has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 35.3%, compared to Iowa State at 32.8%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Cyclones are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.
  • Cyclones are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.
  • Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Iowa State has quietly been playing good basketball over their last five games. They also play Baylor tough (historically speaking). I’m placing a double bet on ISU to get the money! et your Cyclones/Bears pick and ALL your bets today for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook! It’s the best sportsbook bonus you’ll ever find on the web!