Kent State at Buffalo Pick ATS & Analysis

by | Last updated Feb 10, 2023 | cbb

Kent State (19-5 SU 14-7 ATS) vs. Buffalo (12-12 SU 14-8 ATS)
When: Friday, February 10th: 6:00 ET
Where: Alumni Arena Buffalo, NY
Point Spread: KSU -4.5/UB +4.5 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE with code PREDICTEM at Betnow!)
Total: 150.5
Money Line: Kent State Golden Flashes -200/Buffalo Bulls +163

The Kent State Golden Flashes hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bulls. The Golden Flashes are just 6-5 on the road this season and 3-2 in MAC play but, nevertheless, are favored tonight by four points. Read on to get our Kent State/Buffalo pick backed by statistical analysis, handicapping angles, and expert insight for 2/10/23.

Line Movement

Not a ton of movement on this game, with the spread line opening at Kent State -4.5 across the board with a few betting shops dropping the line to -4. The total opened as low as 149.5 but is listed as high as 152 showing upward movement at all sportsbooks.

Last Game Info

Kent State picked up a victory over Bowling Green by a score of 87-64. Heading into the game, the Golden Flashes were favored to win, with a point spread of -14. The combined 151 points finished above the 147.5 total line.

Buffalo is coming off a 102-97 win over Eastern Michigan. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as -10 point favorites. The combined 199 points finished above the 162.5 total line.

Current Form

Kent State
Over their last five games, Kent State has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Golden Flashes’ offense averages 74.6 points per game while hitting 46.3% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.4% from the field while allowing 70.8 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Buffalo is 3-2 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 82.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.5%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 47.5% of their shots while giving up 78.6 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Kent State’s opponents comes in at 74.7. On the other side, Buffalo’s combined opponent power rating sits at 77.4.

How Does Kent State Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Golden Flashes have played 12 road games and have a record of 7-5. In these contests, Kent State is 7-4 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 66.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.4%. On defense, the Golden Flashes allow 63.9 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 40.6% in these games.

How Does Buffalo Fare At Home?

In their 14 games at home, Buffalo has a 7-5 record vs. the spread while going 9-5 straight-up. On offense, the Bulls are shooting 46.6% on their home floor, leading to 82.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 43.9% in these contests. The Buffalo defense is allowing 75.1 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Kent State is averaging 71.0 points per game (197th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 44.1%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Buffalo defense that has allowed an average of 77.8 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 45.0% of their shots vs. Buffalo. On the other side, the Buffalo Bulls are coming into the game averaging 79.9 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.5%. The Bulls will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 64.1 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 37.1% of their shots vs. the Golden Flashes.

More Picks: Get expert Rich Crew’s Xavier at Butler point spread winner for 2/10/23

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Kent State has a shooting percentage of 33.0% while ranking 315th in attempts per game. The Golden Flashes will be facing a Buffalo defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 35.4%. Buffalo enters the game having hit 34.2% of their looks from deep while averaging 8.5 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Kent State has allowed opponents to hit 28.7% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Kent State

  • No Reported Injuries


  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

Sure, the Bulls have lost both games when hosting top-level MAC teams, and that’s a bit troublesome, but they did defeat the other four MAC opponents going 4-2 in their six games. This is much like the Golden Flashes. Kent State is 3-2 on the road in conference play (1-3-1 ATS), beating three lower teams with a sub-.500 record and losing in both games when facing teams with a winning record. Take Buffalo +4. Note: Invest one minute of your time to read this. It will change the way you bet on games forever. And it’s FREE! It’s more than likely you are having to lay -110 odds on games. Did you know that you could be betting -105? This may not sound like much, but it’s HUGE! It lowers your breakeven point from 52.38% to 51.19%. If you plan on winning at sports betting, you need every single edge you can get! This saves a $100 bettors five bucks everytime they wager. That adds up to a HUGE amount over the course of season! It saves a dime player $50 everytime they bet! Be smart! Don’t pass on a money saving opportunity! This bookie is probably better than yours too! We’ve advertised them for over 15 years with ZERO complaints! Find this awesome offer and more at BetAnySports Sportsbook!