Memphis vs Gonzaga Analysis & Prediction ATS

by | Last updated Mar 19, 2022 | cbb

Memphis Tigers (22-10 SU, 16-15-1 ATS) vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (27-3 SU, 15-13-2 ATS)

When: Saturday March 19 2022, 9:40 PM PM (ET)

Where: Moda Center

Point Spread: Memphis +11/Gonzaga -11 (MyBookie)

Total: 154

Money Line: Tigers +500/Gonzaga -750

Key Injuries

Memphis has no reported injuries at this time.

Kaden Perry: Back (OUT)
Dominick Harris: Foot (OUT)

Recent Form

The Memphis Tigers come into this matchup with an overall record of 22-10. On the season, the Tigers have performed well in their 11 non-conference games, posting a record of 7-4. So far, the team has gone 4-2 in games at neutral sites. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 4-1.

The Gonzaga Bulldogs get set to host the Tigers with an overall record of 27-3. On the season, the Bulldogs have performed well in their 14 non-conference games, posting a record of 12-2. For the year, they went 6-1 at neutral sites. Heading into this matchup, the Bulldogs are looking to pick up their 4 straight win.

For the season, the Memphis Tigers are averaging 75.1 points per game, good for a rank of 53rd in the NCAA. Defensively, they are the 126th ranked scoring defense, allowing 67.9 points per contest. On the other side, the Gonzaga Bulldogs are the top-ranked scoring offense, averaging 88.0 points per game while allowing just 66 points.

Efficiency Outlook

Gonzaga enters this matchup vs. Memphis, having played 30 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 27-3. Through 30 games, the Bulldogs are averaging 82.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 72.0 for the Bulldogs. In these situations, Gonzaga has an average scoring margin of 22.0 points. On the other side, the Tigers are 5-4 as the inferior team on both ends of the court. In these 9 instances, they hold an average scoring margin of +1.0.

I Don’t expect this game to be heavily dictated by three-point shooting, as both the Tigers and Bulldogs are near the bottom of the NCAA in percentage of points from beyond the arc. So far, 25.1% of Memphis’s points are coming from three-point shots. The same goes for Gonzaga, at 28.2%.

More Tournament Picks: Get Joe’s Recommended St. Peters vs. Murray State Point Spread Bet

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Gonzaga was tied with Georgia State in the second half before Ga. St. lost a couple key players to injury/fouls. They also looked underwhelming in the WCC Conference Tournament. Memphis is catching fire and is SUPER athletic. I love the Tigers here and it wouldn’t surprise me if they got a straight up win here!