Michigan St. at Wisconsin Badgers Pick ATS 1/10/23

by | Jan 10, 2023 | cbb

Michigan State (11-4 SU 9-6 ATS) vs. Wisconsin (11-3 SU 7-7 ATS)
When: Tuesday, January 10th: 7:00 ET
Where: Kohl Center Madison, WI
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: MST -1.5/ WISC +1.5 (Deposit $100 and get $100 FREE when you use bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook! This offer is good for $300 up to $300 if you want to go bigger!)
Total: 125.0
Money Line: Michigan State Spartans -125/ Wisconsin Badgers +102

Both teams are 3-1 in conference action, with Michigan State being the winner of three straight and Wisconsin coming off their first loss. This game may come down to the Badgers’ three-point shooting against the Spartans’ 3-pt defense. The NCAA betting board has Michigan State as a -1 point favorite. Tip-off at the Kohl Center is scheduled for 7:00 PM.

Line Movement

The Badgers opened on most boards as a -1 to -1.5 favorite and have moved against the public action to Spartans -1.5. The total has been on the rise originally offered at 125 is now 126.5 to -127 at the sportsbooks we track.

Last Game Info

Michigan State picked up a victory over Michigan by a score of 59-53. Heading into the game, the Spartans were favored to win, with a point spread of -3.5. The combined 112 points did not surpass the 138.5 total line.

Wisconsin most recently fell to Illinois (79-69). Not only did the Badgers lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +7.5 point underdogs. The combined 148 points finished above the 130.5 total line.

Current Form

Michigan State
Over their last five games, Michigan State has a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Spartans’ offense averages 71.4 points per game while hitting 45.4% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 36.7% from the field while allowing 56.2 points per contest.

Wisconsin
In their previous five contests, Wisconsin is 4-1 straight-up and 1-4 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 72.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.4%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 45.5% of their shots while giving up 67.2 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Michigan State’s opponents comes in at 82.1. Conversely, Wisconsin’s combined opponent power rating sits at 78.9.

How Does Michigan State Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Spartans have played four road games and have a record of 2-2. In these contests, Michigan State is 3-1 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 67.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 40.8%. On defense, the Spartans are allowing 67.2 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 41.2% in these games.

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How Does Wisconsin Fare At Home?

In their nine games at home, Wisconsin has a 3-6 record vs. the spread while going 8-1 straight-up. On offense, the Badgers are shooting 41.6% on their home floor, leading to 66.7 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.2% in these contests. The Wisconsin defense is allowing 57.2 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Michigan State is averaging 72.1 points per game (168th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.7%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Wisconsin defense that has allowed an average of 62.4 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 42.2% of their shots vs. Wisconsin. On the other side, the Wisconsin Badgers are coming into the game averaging 70.7 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.5%. The Badgers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 64.9 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 37.0% of their shots vs. the Spartans.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Michigan State has a shooting percentage of 37.8% while ranking 533rd in attempts per game. The Spartans will be facing a Wisconsin defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 30.8%. Wisconsin enters the game having hit 31.2% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.61 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Michigan State has allowed opponents to hit 26.2% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Michigan State

  • No Reported Injuries

Wisconsin

  • Tyler Wahl (Questionable) Ankle
  • Jahcobi Neath (Out) Lower Body
  • Isaac Lindsey (Questionable) Upper Body

Pick Against The Spread

I’m with the sharps on this game. The MSU defense has been outstanding in the last six allowing only one team to score more than 60 points, getting the victory in all six. They are coming off a big win over the Wolverines, so they could come up a bit flat, but defense typically travels well. Additionally, the Badgers may be without arguably their best player Tyler Wahl. I’m wagering on the Michigan State Spartans at -1.5. Bet your college hoops predictions for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you enter bonus promo code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!