Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers Odds & Pick

by | Last updated Mar 11, 2022 | cbb

Michigan State Spartans (21-11 SU, 16-16-0 ATS) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (24-6 SU, 17-13-0 ATS)

When: Friday March 11 2022, 6:30 PM PM (ET)

Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Point Spread: Michigan State +1.5/Wisconsin -1.5 (BetNow – Offers a 100% real cash bonus up to $1K!)

Total: 138

Money Line: Spartans +115/Wisconsin -139

Key Injuries

Michigan State
Michigan St has no reported injuries at this time.

Jonathan Davis: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Lorne Bowman II: Illness (OUT)

Recent Form

The Michigan State Spartans come into this matchup with an overall record of 21-11. On the season, the Spartans have performed well in their 21 conference games, posting a record of 12-9. This mark is good for 7th in the Big 10. In addition to playing well in the Big 10, Michigan State is just above .500 on the road and neutral sites. Through 17 games, the Spartans are 9-8 away from home. Heading into this matchup, the Spartans will be looking to pick up their third straight win.

The Wisconsin Badgers get set to host the Spartans with an overall record of 24-6. On the season, the Badgers have performed well in their 20 conference games, posting a record of 15-5. This mark is good for 1st in the Big 10. In addition to playing well in the Big 10, Wisconsin has performed well at home. Through 16 games, the Badgers are 12-4 at home. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 4-1.

For the season, the Michigan State Spartans are averaging 72.3 points per game, good for a rank of 118th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Spartans’ scoring average drops to 68 points per game. The team’s defensive performance also takes a hit when playing away from home, giving up an additional 2.0 points per game. On the other side, the Wisconsin Badgers are the 153rd ranked scoring offense, averaging 71.0 points per game.

Efficiency Outlook

Wisconsin enters this matchup vs Michigan State, having played 17 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 14-3. Through 30 games, the Badgers are averaging 73.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 73.0 for the Badgers. In these situations, Wisconsin has an average scoring margin of 6.0 points. On the other side, the Spartans are 2-4 as the inferior team on both ends of the court. In these 3 instances, they hold an average scoring margin of +1.0.

I don’t expect this game to be heavily dictated by three-point shooting, as both the Spartans and Badgers are near the bottom of the NCAA in percentage of points from beyond the arc. So far, 30.6% of Michigan State’s points are coming from three-point shots. The same goes for Wisconsin, at 27.9%. In terms of efficiency, Michigan State has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 38.7%, compared to Wisconsin at 31.3%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Badgers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
  • Badgers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.

Joe’s Against the Spread Pick

The Michigan State Spartans have been too inconsistent to bet on at this point in the season. I like the Wisconsin Badgers to come away with hard fought win that probably won’t be decided until the last few minutes of the game. Question: Did you know that you could be wagering on games at -105 odds instead of the more expensive -110 option that you’re currently using? Pencil it out! You’d have saves THOUSANDS of dollars in vigorish over the past handful of years if you had bet for cheaper! Learn more about reduced juice sports wagering! You’ll be so glad you did!

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