Ohio vs. Toledo Preview: Point Spread, Total, and Pick

by | Last updated Mar 10, 2023 | cbb

Ohio (19-13 SU 18-11 ATS) vs. Toledo (26-6 SU 19-12 ATS)
When: Friday, March 10th: 5:00 ET
Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse Cleveland, OH
Point Spread: OU +5/U of T -5 (Be smart! Bet your games at -105 instead of -110 at BAS Sportsbook! It’ll save you TONS of money!)
Total: 162.5
Money Line: OH +177/Tol -221

The Ohio Bobcats (19-13 SU, 18-11 ATS) will take on the Toledo Rockets (26-6 SU, 19-12 ATS) on Friday, March 10th at 5:00 ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, OH. The point spread is set at Ohio +5.5/Tol -5.5, with a total of 162.5. The money line currently has Ohio Bobcats +177/Toledo Rockets -221. The game will be televised on CBSS.

Line Movement

The Rockets opened as a -5 favorite, and the early betting immediately drove the line up to Toledo -5.5, where it has held. The total hit the board at 162.5 with no movement at most books.

Last Game Info

Ohio will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Ball State by a score of 90-70. The Bobcats also picked up an ATS victory as they were +1 point, underdogs. The combined 160 points finished above the 151 total line.

Toledo picked up a victory over Miami (OH) by a score of 91-75. Heading into the game, the Rockets were favored to win, with a point spread of -14. The combined 166 points finished above the 154 total line.

Current Form

Over their last five games, Ohio has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bobcats’ offense averages 80.4 points per game while hitting 44.5% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 47.4% from the field while allowing 72.6 points per contest.

In their previous five contests, Toledo is 5-0 straight-up and 5-0 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 92.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 56.7%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 44.6% of their shots while giving up 71.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Ohio’s opponents comes in at 75.2. Conversely, Toledo’s combined opponent power rating sits at 74.8.

How Does Ohio Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Bobcats have played 16 road games and have a record of 5-11. In these contests, Ohio is 8-7 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 76.7 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.1%. On defense, the Bobcats allow 79.0 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 47.9% in these games.

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How Does Toledo Fare At Home?

In their 16 games at home, Toledo has an 11-4 record vs. the spread while going 15-1 straight-up. On offense, the Rockets are shooting 51.5% on their home floor, leading to 90.7 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 42.5% in these contests. The Toledo defense is allowing 75.1 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Ohio is averaging 73.9 points per game (116th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 43.1%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Toledo defense that has allowed an average of 76.0 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 44.6% of their shots vs. Toledo. On the other side, the Toledo Rockets are coming into the game averaging 80.7 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.4%. The Rockets will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 72.8 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 43.8% of their shots vs. the Bobcats.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Ohio has a shooting percentage of 34.0% while ranking 108th in attempts per game. The Bobcats will be facing a Toledo defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 34.3%. Toledo enters the game having hit 36.0% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.0 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Ohio has allowed opponents to hit 33.6% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note


  • IJ Ezuma (Out) Foot


  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Spread

Ohio is shooting exceptionally well right now, and no one is stopping Toledo (84 or more points per game in 9 of their L10). It’s a little square, but I’m betting the Over. Take the Over 162.5

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