Purdue at Ohio St. Betting Odds, Analysis & Total Pick 1/5/23

by | Jan 5, 2023 | cbb

Purdue (13-1 SU 3-11 ATS) vs. Ohio State (10-3 SU 7-6 ATS)
When: Thursday, January 5th: 7:00 ET
Where: Value City Arena Columbus, OH
TV: FS1
Point Spread: PUR +1.5/ OHIOST -1.5
Total: 141.5
Money Line: Purdue Boilermakers +104/ Ohio State Buckeyes -128

Purdue is just a basket away from being undefeated and being 14-0 and should be able to give Ohio State all they can handle on Thursday night in Columbus at Valley City Arena. On the odds board, the Buckeyes are a small -2 favorite, with the total listed at 139.5

Line Movement

Both the total and the spread lines have moved, with Ohio State moving up a half point to -2 and the total down a full two points to 139.5

Last Game Info

Going into their last game, Purdue was the betting favorite at -8.5 but fell to Rutgers by a score of 65-64. The combined 129 points did not surpass the 131.5 total line.

Ohio State picked up a victory over Northwestern by a score of 73-57. Heading into the game, the Buckeyes were favored to win, with a point spread of -2.5. The combined 130 points did not surpass the 136 total line.

Current Form

Purdue
Over their last five games, Purdue has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 0-5 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Boilermakers’ offense is averaging 70.8 points per game while hitting 43.4% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 38.4% from the field while allowing 58.0 points per contest.

Ohio State
In their previous five contests, Ohio State is 4-1 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 81.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 50.5%. Defensively, they are allowing teams to hit 40.5% of their shots while giving up 66.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Purdue’s opponents comes in at 79.6. On the other side, Ohio State’s combined opponent power rating sits at 76.7.

How Does Purdue Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Boilermakers have played four road games and have a record of 4-0. In these contests, Purdue is 2-2 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 77.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.2%. On defense, the Boilermakers are allowing 66.2 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 37.8% in these games.

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How Does Ohio State Fare At Home?

In their nine games at home, Ohio State has a 5-4 record vs. the spread while going 8-1 straight-up. On offense, the Buckeyes are shooting 50.7% on their home floor, leading to 83.3 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 39.3% in these contests. The Ohio State defense is allowing 62.1 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Purdue is averaging 79.8 points per game (18th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 49.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against an Ohio State defense that has allowed an average of 64.5 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 39.7% of their shots vs. Ohio State. On the other side, the Ohio State Buckeyes are coming into the game averaging 73.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.4%. The Buckeyes will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 60.9 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 38.9% of their shots vs. the Boilermakers.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Purdue has a shooting percentage of 39.1% while ranking 328th in attempts per game. The Boilermakers will be facing an Ohio State defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 27.8%. Ohio State enters the game having hit 37.3% of their looks from deep while averaging 8.1 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Purdue has allowed opponents to hit 28.3% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Purdue

  • No Reported Injuries

Ohio State

  • No Reported Injuries

Pick Against The Betting Line

Purdue has been held to 65 or fewer points in two of their three conference games, and in the only game that they allowed 70 points all season, they coasted in the second half with a significant lead and allowed the Gophers to score 43 points of their 70 points. Ohio State has a solid offense, but their numbers in Big Ten games are lower in both scoring and FG% compared to their season average. Take the UNDER 139.5