Hawaii Rainbows (2-1) 2-0 ATS, 2-0 O/U at Louisana Tech (1-2) 0-2 ATS, 1-1 O/U Wednesday September 30, 2009 8:00 p.m. EST
By Wilson of Predictem.com
Point Spread: Hawaii +3.5/Louisiana Tech -3.5
Over/Under: 55.5
College football gets an early start this week as the Hawaii Warriors
travel to Louisana Tech for a humpday matchup between two WAC rivals.
Hawaii, currently holds third place in the WAC conference with Louisana
Tech right behind them in fourth place.
Hawaii landed in Las Vegas last week, but they werent there to play the slots or hit the craps tables unless a couple of third stringers snuck out in the middle of a dinner or something. The Warriors lost on a last minute drive by UNLV that was capped off by a Hail-Mary/toss up pass with just 36 seconds left on the ticker. The 34-33 loss was tough to take especially in a city that takes pictures of winners and builds billion dollar resorts from the profit of losers. Im not sure there will be a Hawaiian Casino Resort Hotel in Vegas anytime soon but anythings possible in the desert.
Warriors QB Greg Alexander had a career night at Sam Boyd Stadium as he threw for 477 yards on 31 of 48 passing and 3 touchdowns. Alexander also had one INT. The Warriors were definitely on the air attack as they accumalated just 28 yards total rushing while going over 400 yards through the air.
Hawaii wide receiver Rodney Bradley pulled in 8 passes for 189 yards and a touchdown while teammate Kealoha Pilares grabbed 13 balls for 146 yards. The Warriors had atotal of 505 offensive yards with only one turnover. The Warriors were 5 for 11 on third down conversions, and 1 for 3 on fourth down attempts. The lack of a rushing attack or at least some sort of balanced running game is a concern for the Warriors coaching staff. Maybe UNLV has a weak secondary but geez, 28 yards on the ground is brutal. Hopefully Hawaii can balance their offensive attack more this week at L. Tech.
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Louisana Tech is coming off a big win over Nicholls State 48-13. Tech never trailed in the game and jumped out to a 20-3 advantage in the third quarter. Bulldogs QB Ross Jenkins threw for 357 yards on 21 of 30 passing with two touchdowns. It also helps when the other team has a ton of turnovers- Nicholls State had 4 TOs.
Hawaii comes into this game averaging 32 points per game while Louisana Tech is putting up 25 ppg. The Warriors have allowed 24.7 ppg to their opponent. The Warriors give up 250 yards in passing to 126 on the ground whereas the Bulldogs are the opposite as they allow 250 yards on the ground. Louisana Tech is giving up 27.3 ppg to their opponents.
Hawaii is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Louisana Tech is 8-21 ATS vs. teams with a winning record. The Warriors have won the last three head to head matchups, most recently downing the Bulldogs last year 24-14.
The QB matchup may lean towards Alexander of Hawaiias his numbers are slightly higher in completion percentage as well as TD/INT ratio 9/2 compared to Jenkins 3/2. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning record. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The over is 21-10 in Warriors last 31 conference games.
Head to head between these two teams the home team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
Wilsons Pick: The Warriors head home with much Aloha. Hawaii 28, L. Tech 21. Luck to ya.
