MAC Best Bet: Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Toledo Rockets

by | Last updated Sep 27, 2023 | cfb

Northern Illinois Huskies (1-3 SU, ATS 0-2) vs. Toledo Rockets (3-1 SU, ATS 3-0)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
Point Spread: NIU +13/Tol -13 (Make laying -110 a thing of the past! Lay -105 at BAS Sportsbook)
Money Line: N. Illinois +396/Toledo -559
Over/Under: 50

The Northern Illinois Huskies and Toledo Rockets matchup in a Mid-American showdown at Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH. The over/under for this matchup is currently 50 while Toledo is favored by -13.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Toledo currently holds the bragging rights over Northern Illinois as in their most recent head to head matchup, they won 52-32. When looking at how the two offenses performed in this game, Toledo ran for 159 yards while throwing for 190. As for Northern Illinois, they finished with 284 while running for 140.

Northern Illinois Huskies Recent Form:

After dropping their most recent game by a score of 22-14 to Tulsa, the Huskies are just 1-3 so far this season.

The over/under line for the matchup was 54.5, resulting in a hit for the under. Against the spread, Northern Illinois was tagged with the L, as they were favored by 4.

Against Tulsa, Ethan Hampton threw for 97 yards on a completion percentage of 56.5%. In the loss, he threw one touchdown and had a passer rating of 45.02.

The top rusher for Northern Illinois against Tulsa was Justin Lynch. He gained 84 rushing yards and scored one time in 8 attempts. Northern Illinois’ most productive receiver in the game was Grayson Barnes, who finished with 40 on three receptions.

Northern Illinois’ defense gave up 281 yards of offense vs. Tulsa. In the passing game, they allowed 102 while on the ground they gave up 179 yards. The Huskies defense comes into the game with 10 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 23.8 points per game (66th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 13th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 144 passing yards per game. Additionally, Northern Illinois’ run defense comes in allowing 155 rushing yards per contest.

Away Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Best Parlays

2 Team Parlay 3 Team Parlay 4 Team Parlay
sportsbetting 2.64 to 1 6 to 1 12.3 to 1
Bovada 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1
Mybookie 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1

Toledo Rockets Recent Form:

Toledo’s 49-31 win against Western Michigan has propelled their record to 3-1 as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Northern Illinois.

Going into the game as 22-point favorites, Toledo’s 18 point win wasn’t enough to cover. The over hit in the game as the over/under betting line was 51.5 at kickoff.

Quarterback DeQuan Finn threw for two touchdowns in Toledo’s win over Western Michigan. Overall, he had a passer rating of 85.12 while completing 57.1% of his passes for 119 yards.

Peny Boone carried the rushing load for Toledo against Western Michigan, accumulating 211 yards on 24 attempts and finding the endzone two times. Jerjuan Newton had a stellar performance as the team’s top receiver, scoring three touchdowns and making four receptions for 72 yards.

The Rockets’ defense finished the game by giving up 393 total yards to Western Michigan. The team’s run defense allowed 230 yards rushing compared to 163 in the passing game. Toledo’s defense ranks 53rd in points allowed, with 20.2 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 173.5 passing yards against them (34th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 144.8 rushing yards, putting them 90th in college football.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Adam Beale WR Foot Questionable
DeQuan Finn QB Shoulder Questionable
Jacquez Stuart RB Undisclosed Questionable

Betting Trends

  • Looking at Northern Illinois’ ten most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 7-3.
  • Toledo’s ATS record at home (last three) is 2-1.
  • In the ten most recent times they were the underdog, Toledo has put together an ATS record of 4-6.
  • When favored, Northern Illinois has gone 1-9 vs. the spread (last 10).

Line Movement:

The moneyline payout for the Rockets’ is now -562, having opened at -670. The implied win probabilities for the respective teams are currently 85% for Toledo and 20% for Northern Illinois. Since the lines opened, Toledo has shifted from being -14 point favorites to their current line of -13 (-112). Meanwhile, Northern Illinois is currently +13 (-110) point underdogs on the road. The oddsmakers initially set the over/under line for this game at 51, but it has since been wagered down to its current line of 50, with the over paying out at -112 and the under at -109.

Free Pick

On offense, it is clear that Toledo is going to look to run the ball. So far this year, they are 10th in yards per rush. Look for Northern Illinois to struggle all day long to stop the run. I like the Rockets at -13. There’s tons of bookies on the web! But we only advertise the best sports betting sites!