Bet the Total: Wolverines at Cornhuskers Pick
Michigan Wolverines (4-0 SU, ATS 4-0) vs Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-2 SU, ATS 3-1)
Date: Saturday, September 30th
Location: Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, NE
TV: Fox
Point Spread: Mich -17.5/Neb +17.5 (Stop laying -110 odds! You don’t have to anymore! Lay only -105 at the web’s cheapest sportsbook –> BetAnySports!)
Money Line: Big Blue -1114/Huskers +662
Over/Under: 39.5
The Michigan Wolverines and Nebraska Cornhuskers matchup in a Big Ten showdown at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) in Lincoln, NE. The over/under for this matchup is currently 39.5 while Michigan is favored by -17.5.
Head-to-Head Matchup:
In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Michigan picked up the 34-3 win (last year). Michigan will hope to run the ball well once again as the last time they faced up they put up 264 yards on the ground. As for Nebraska they finished with 146 yards of total offense compared to Michigan at 412.
Michigan Wolverines Recent Form:
Prepping for this week’s matchup against Nebraska, the Michigan Wolverines remain undefeated at 4-0. Their latest encounter saw them beat Rutgers with a 31-7 score.
The over/under betting line going into the game was 44.5 points, which the teams did not surpass. Even though they lost straight-up, Rutgers covered the spread as 24 point underdogs.
Quarterback J.J. McCarthy threw for one touchdown in Michigan’s win over Rutgers. Overall, he had a passer rating of 119.94 while completing 71.4% of his passes for 214 yards.
The top rusher for Michigan against Rutgers was Blake Corum. He gained 97 rushing yards and scored two times in 21 attempts. In the passing game, Colston Loveland finished with a team high 75 receiving yards while averaging 15.0 yards per reception.
Against Rutgers, the Wolverines defense was excellent against Rutgers, giving up just 7 points on 257 yards allowed. Rutgers’ passing game finished with 180 yards. Up-front, Michigan gave up 3.3 yards per attempt. This season, the Wolverines’ defense has allowed 80 rushing yards per game, ranking 180th. Opponents average 151 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 63.2 against Michigan. They hold the 105th position in NCAA points allowed.
Away Injury Report
FullName | Position | InjuryBodyPart | InjuryStatus |
---|---|---|---|
Jack Tuttle | QB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Tavierre Dunlap | RB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Ja’Den McBurrows | DB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Alex Orji | QB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Amorion Walker | DB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Zeke Berry | DB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Logan Forbes | WR | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Jimmy Rolder | LB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
CJ Stokes | RB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Benjamin Hall | RB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Nebraska Cornhuskers Recent Form:
Nebraska was able to get back to .500 with their most recent win over Louisiana Tech. The Cornhuskers come into this week’s matchup at 2-2.
Despite winning straight-up, Nebraska did not cover the spread as pre-game 20.5 point favorites. The teams fell short of the over/under line of 44.5 points.
In Nebraska’s most recent win, Heinrich Haarberg not only threw for one touchdown but ran for one as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 107 yards while completing 47.1% of his passes.
Besides his passing performance vs. Louisiana Tech, quarterback Heinrich Haarberg displayed his running abilities by carrying the ball 19 times and gaining 157 yards. For the game, Billy Kemp IV hauled in five receptions for a total of 62 yards which led the team.
Defensively, Nebraska allowed a total of 338 yards to Louisiana Tech. This includes giving up 46 yards allowed on the ground and 292 passing yards. Nebraska comes into the game 46th in points allowed, allowing 18.5 points per game. Teams have been gaining 251.8 passing yards on average against them (126th). Against the run, they’re giving up 46.2 yards, placing them 5th in college football.
Home Injury Report
FullName | Position | InjuryBodyPart | InjuryStatus |
---|---|---|---|
Rahmir Johnson | RB | Shoulder | Out |
Jeff Sims | QB | Ankle | Questionable |
Arik Gilbert | TE | Eligibility | Questionable |
Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda | WR | Knee | Out |
Gabe Ervin Jr. | RB | Hip | Out |
Heinrich Haarberg | QB | Undisclosed | Questionable |
Brodie Tagaloa | DL | Knee | Out |
Dwight Bootle II | DB | Shoulder | Out |
Maverick Noonan | LB | Knee | Out |
Betting Trends
- On the road, Michigan has gone 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Nebraska’s ATS record at home (last ten) is 5-4.
- Looking back at the last ten times Nebraska went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 6-4.
- Michigan’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 0-4-1.
Line Movement:
Currently, Michigan has an implied win percentage of 92% with a moneyline payout of -1114. Michigan actually opened at -1115 on the moneyline. As for Nebraska, they opened at +650 and are currently at +662 with an implied win percentage of 13%. After starting as the 18.5-point road favorites, Michigan is still in the favored position, although the lines have shifted to -17.5. The over/under market has witnessed a change since its opening at 42, compared to its current value of 39.5.
Free Pick
For this game, I’m looking at the over/under for my best bet. Look for Michigan to jump out to a huge lead, which should give Nebraska an opportunity to put some late points against a prevent defense. I like the over at 39.5. Bet your Week 5 college football picks for FREE by scoring a massive 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you enter bonus code PREDICTEM on their special offers page after you’ve made your deposit at the web’s oldest and most trusted sportsbook! Everygame!