Michigan vs. Indiana Odds & Prediction 11/7/20

by | Nov 4, 2020 | cfb

Michigan Wolverines (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. Indiana Hoosiers (2-0, 2-0), 11/7/20

Time: 12 pm ET Saturday, Nov. 7

Where: Memorial Stadium

TV: FS 1

Point spread: Mich -3/Ind +3 (Mybookie - They had a bet a couple weeks ago where they offered the Chiefs at +45! FUN place to bet! They do this from time to time to keep it exciting for their people AND we have a special deal with them where they give Predictem readers a 100% bonus on their first deposit up to $300! GREAT sportsbook! Check’em out!)

Money line: Wolverines -145/Hoosiers +125

Over/Usnder: 52

The Michigan Wolverines own a 24-game winning streak in the supposed rivalry with the Indiana Hoosiers, stretching back to 1997. But Indiana is 5-3-1 against the spread over the last nine meetings, keeping almost every game close as an underdog. The Hoosiers are lined as short home dogs for Saturday afternoon’s Big Ten East battle in Bloomington. How are we playing this game with our free college football pick?

College Football Betting Odds

College football betting odds opened Michigan at -3.5 over Indiana, with an over/under of 55. Early betting action then dipped that spread to -3 and dropped that total to 52.

Michigan vs. Indiana Betting Preview

The Wolverines are 1-1 on the season after getting shocked at home by rival Michigan State last week 27-24. Michigan, playing as a 21-point favorite, never led, trailing 7-0 early and 14-10 at the half. The Wolverines forged a 17-17 tie midway through the third quarter but gave up the next 10 points of the game and couldn’t recover, falling to rather ignominious defeat.

On the day Michigan racked up 452 yards of total offense but gave up 449, often in big chunks. The Wolverines’ defense allowed MSU offensive plays of 28, 30, 53, 50, 40 and 31 yards.

Two weeks ago Michigan opened its 2020 season with a 49-24 win at Minnesota, covering at -23. So this team seems a bit Jekyll-and-Hyde at the moment.

Indiana, meanwhile, is 2-0 on the season, after beating Rutgers last week 37-21. The Hoosiers, fighting against a letdown, following their big win the week prior, spotted the Scarlet Knights the first seven points of the game, then used a 23-0 run spanning the halves to take control. Indiana let Rutgers get within 23-15 late in the third quarter but scored two quick touchdown to secure the victory and the cover as an 11-point favorite.

For the day the Hoosiers out-gained the Knights 347-247 and won the turnover battle 3-0, creating a +17 points differential.

Indiana opened this season with that crazy 36-35 overtime win over Penn State, taking that game outright as a seven-point underdog. The Hoosiers got out-gained that day by 277 yards but got a little lucky here and there, which never hurts.

At 2-0 Indiana is tied for first place with Ohio State in the Big Ten East.

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Michigan-Indiana Recent History

As mentioned above the Wolverines have beaten Indiana 24 times in a row, stretching back to 1997. But from 2009-18 the Hoosiers kept five of eight games within the point spread, four within one score. Last year, though, Michigan scored the last 32 points of the game to win 39-14 and cover as a 10-point favorite.

College Football Betting Trends

  • Michigan is 33-13 SU, 24-22 ATS in Big Ten play under Coach Harbaugh.
  • Indiana is 7-4 both SU and ATS over its last 11 Big Ten games.

Totals Report

  • Michigan’s win over Minnesota two weeks ago played over a total of 53 early in the third quarter, while last week’s loss to Michigan State played under a total of 52 by one point.
  • Indiana’s win over Penn State two weeks ago was under its total of 62 after regulation, then played over in overtime. Then last week’s win over Rutgers played over a total of 54 on a meaningless Knights touchdown in garbage time.
  • Overs are 6-3 over the last nine meetings between these teams, which have trended high-scoring.

Free College Football Pick

Michigan opened its season by beating what’s supposed to be a decent Minnesota team by 25 points, then lost to what we believe will be a bad Michigan State team. Go figure. Indiana, meanwhile, got out-played by Penn State two weeks ago but won, then calmly took care of business last week against Rutgers. The Wolverines only returned 11 starters for this season and they’re breaking in a new quarterback. The Hoosiers, on the other hand, returned 16 starters, including their QB, three along the offensive line and four along the defensive line. Indiana’s lost 24 in a row to Michigan but this is its best chance to snap that streak in a long time. We’ll take the Hoosiers and the points, and won’t be surprised of Indiana wins this one outright. 

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