Missouri Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs Prediction ATS

by | Nov 6, 2019 | cfb

Missouri Tigers (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Georgia Bulldogs (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS)
College Football Week 11
Date/Time: Saturday - November 9th - 7:00pm EST
Where: Sanford Stadium - Athens, Georgia
TV: ESPN

Point Spread: MIZZ +17/UGA -17 (Bookmaker)
Over/Under Total: 47

MISSOURI TIGERS AND GEORGIA BULLDOGS MATCHUP:

This Saturday night in Athens, Georgia, there is an SEC East showdown between the Missouri Tigers and the 6th ranked Georgia Bulldogs. Georgia needs to win at least two of their last three SEC games to make their third straight trip to the SEC Title Game on December 7th. As for Missouri, they are hoping to play spoiler and continue to improve on a season that started off looking like it would be a disaster.

Missouri started the 2019 season off with a devastating loss to Wyoming in a game that they were heavily favored. After the week one loss, the Tigers were able to win five straight, but the last two weeks have not been as kind with losses to Vanderbilt and Kentucky. Missouri’s issues have come mostly on the offensive side of the ball, which will not bode well against Georgia if those struggles continue. As for Georgia, the Dawgs are primed and ready for another shot at an SEC Title Game and potential College Football Playoff Berth. At 7-1 Georgia is the 6th ranked team in the country, but they still seem to have some question marks in certain areas.

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Heading into the Florida game last week, quarterback, Jake Fromm, and Offensive Coordinator, James Coley were taking lots of heat. After a terrible loss to South Carolina in Athens and then a sub-par performance in a 21-0 win over Kentucky, Georgia’s offense did not look good…at all. This past weekend though, the Georgie offense started clicking a little better. Fromm passed for 279 yards and two touchdowns in the 24-17 win. His leading receiver was Miami transfer, Lawrence Cager, who had seven catches for 132 yards and a touchdown. The running game was stagnant, but as the game went on, the yards started adding up. D’Andre Swift finished with 86 yards, but he also had a huge touchdown run called back for holding. If the Bulldogs come into Saturday night with this same game plan, I think they can be very successful.

HOW THE PUBLIC IS BETTING MISSOURI AND GEORGIA:

The line opened with Georgia has a 21 point favorite, but since Monday, it has dropped to 17 points. I am not sure why the line has fallen, but it has. Georgia has no significant injuries, Missouri has not hired Nick Saban, and the public loves the Dogs…so why did it drop four points? Hell if I know. With that said, 61% of the betting public liked Georgia to cover at home while just 39% like Missouri. I do not usually follow the public like this, but I like Georgia a lot in this game.

WHY GEORIGA WILL COVER THE 17 POINTS ON SATURDAY:

The defense will determine this game on Saturday. I can see Missouri having issues not just scoring, but even moving the ball at all. Georgia is one of the nation’s top defenses through the first ten weeks of the season. The defensive numbers for the Dawgs are staggering. UGA ranks #1 in the SEC against the run while they are 5th nationally. Not only does the Georgia defense stop the run well, but they also have not even given up a rushing touchdown all season. The scoring defense is 2nd in the SEC with 10.7 points per game allowed…but note…14 points credited to this stat came via pick-sixes thrown by the Georgia offense.

I do not see Georgia blowing the brakes off Missouri, but the Tigers just will not score enough to keep it close. Georgia will be very methodical on offense and will dominate time of possession just like they did against Florida last week. D’Andre Swift will have a huge game, as will Jake Fromm. The offensive line, which has finally started looking like the O Line that was advertised, will win in the trenches, and the Bulldogs will coast to victory Saturday night in Athens. Georgia will win this game 30-10 over Missouri putting the Dawgs just one win away from their third straight SEC Title Game.

Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Take the Georgia Bulldogs -17 points over Missouri on Saturday.

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