Northern Illinois vs Kentucky Odds & Predictions

by | Sep 20, 2022 | cfb

Northern Illinois Huskies 1-2 SU / ATS 1-1-0 vs Kentucky Wildcats 3-0 SU / ATS
3-0-0

Date: Saturday, September 24th

Location: Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

TV: ESN2

Point Spread: Huskies +25.5/Wildcats -25.5 (Wagerweb - Make Kentucky a -5.5 favorite or NIU a +45.5 underdog by inserting either into a massive 20 point college football teaer found here!)

Money Line: Huskies 1621/Wildcats -8285

Over/Under: 53.0

RECENT FORM

This season, the Huskies have an overall record of 1-2 and have yet to play a game in the
Mid-American. This season, the Huskies have been favored in 1 game while posting an ATS mark of
1-1-0. Their average over-under betting line is 40.5 leading to an over-under record of
2-0-0.

The Huskies head into the game, coming off a 38-28 loss vs Vanderbilt. With the defeat,
Northern Illinois also added an ATS loss to their resume. In the win, Northern Illinois completed
73.1% of their 26 passes, 3 of which resulted in touchdowns. On the ground, the team ended with 1
rushing touchdown, while averaging 4.9 yards per carry for a total of 151 yards.

So far, quarterback Rocky Lombardi has a passer rating of 113.89 while completing 39 of his 60
attempts. Currently, he has a total of 530 passing yards. Receiver Cole Tucker heads into the
game, as the team’s leader in receiving yards, with a total of 278. The Huskies have turned to
running back Antario Brown a total of 41 times for a total of 203 rushing yards.

This season, the Wildcats hope to continue playing well against SEC teams, as are 1-0. Their
overall record is 3-0. This season, the Wildcats have been favored in 2 game while posting an ATS
mark of 3-0-0. Their average over-under betting line is 52.17 leading to an over-under record of
0-3-0.

This week, the Wildcats will look to pick up another win, as they are coming off a 31-0 win
over Youngstown State. With the 31 point victory, Kentucky also covered the spread. The team
finished the game throwing for 2 touchdown passes. Overall, the Wildcats had 377 passing yards on
a completion percentage of 77.1%. The team ended the game with 2 rushing touchdowns, along with a
total of 103 yards on the ground.

Quarterback Will Levis comes in the game having completed 61 of 91 passes for a passer rating
of 101.99. Through the air, the team will be looking for a big game from leading receiver, Dane
Key. On the season, he has caught 13 for 226 yards. In the run game, Kavosiey Smoke has
accumulated 178 on 39 attempts to lead the team.

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BETTING TRENDS

Against the spread, the Huskies have gone 6-4-0 over their last 10 games. Straight up they
have a record of 5-5-0. Their last 10 scoring differential sits at -1.2, as they averaged 34.9
points per-game while allowing 36.1 points. The over-under record in these games was 8-2-0.

Against the spread, Kentucky have gone 6-3-1 in their last 10 games. Over this same period,
their straight up record is 7-3-0. Their last 10 over-under record comes in at 4-6-0. Kentucky
has a positive scoring differential in these games, averaging 32.8 points per-game and allowing
20.6.

More Picks: Vandy at Bama Recommended Point Spread Bet 9/24/22

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Huskies will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 69th in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, Northern Illinois has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just
218.0 passing yards per-game. This week, the Huskies will be facing a Kentucky defense ranked
25th in pass yards allowed per-game. So far, they are averaging 197.5 yards per-game when facing
top 25 pass defenses.

So far, the Northern Illinois offense is averaging just 154.67 yards per-game on the ground.
This production has come on an average of 34.0 rush attempts per-game (88th). This week, the
Huskies will be facing a Kentucky defense ranked 56th in rush yards allowed per-game. This year,
they have averaged 154.67 yards per-game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Huskies will hope for some improved play from their defense, as
they are currently 108th at 34.33 points per-game allowed.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Wildcats will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 75th in the NCAA in points scored.

So far, the Wildcats are averaging 294.0 yards per-game through the air, placing them 28th in
the country. This week, the Wildcats will be facing a Northern Illinois defense that is ranked
155th in pass yards allowed per-game. This year, they are averaging 340.0 yards per-game when
facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the Kentucky offense is averaging just 74.33 yards per-game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 33.33 rush attempts per-game (93rd). This week, the Wildcats
will be facing a Northern Illinois defense that is ranked 80th in rush yards allowed per-game. So
far, they are averaging 70.0 yards per-game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

The Wildcats will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 13th in
points allowed at 9.67 points per-game allowed.

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