Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
Oklahoma Sooners (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)
When: Saturday, November 3rd, 2018 – 8:00 ET
Where: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
Point Spread: OU -11 / TT +11
Poll Rankings: Oklahoma (7) / Texas Tech (NR)
Takeaways From Week 9
The Sooners loss to Texas seems to be the product of a rivalry game more than any indication of Oklahoma showing attrition in the ranks. After rallying back from 21 down in the Red River Showdown, the Sooners came up short on the losing end of a 48-45 thriller against their arch nemesis. Since then, OU has won two straight. Most recently, the Sooners made quick work of the Kansas State Wildcats at home last week in a 51-14 pummeling of the team also known as the Wabash Cannonballs.
The Red Raiders had Iowa State on the ropes in the early stages of the first half in their encounter with the Cyclones in Ames last week. However, a late fourth-quarter safety and Hakeem Butler touchdown pass in the subsequent possession were the difference makers that led to Iowa State’s 40-31 defeat of T-Tech last week.
How the Public is Betting the Oklahoma-Texas Tech Game
Presently, 66% of the consensus like Oklahoma here as the chalk spotting double-digit points to Texas Tech in its own stead. As a result, we have seen the market rise by half of a point to reflect this current trend. It is worth annotating that the Sooners have covered successfully as the favorite in their last two outings which means they are bound to get a lot of action from bettors at large given their rising stock combined with the fact they are a public team.
The Sooners have won the last six meetings between both parties in this conference clash. Texas Tech’s last victory against Oklahoma came in 2011 when the Red Raiders shocked the Sooners in Norman by a score of 41-38 as a 29-point underdog. Since then, it has been all academic for the Crimson and Cream as they have won four of these six victories by at least 18 points or more.
There are no significant injury concerns for either team as they head into the contest on Saturday.
When Texas Tech Has the Ball
Texas Tech is a passing specialist as they own the third-ranked passing attack in America accumulating 376.8 yards through the air. The team defines the term “air raid” offense, and that has been Texas Tech’s calling card for as long as many have known Red Raider football. This is a team that likes to score and averages 42.2 points per game (10th nationally) The key difference this year for Tech is their defense which has improved in one key aspect: creating turnovers. While Texas Tech’s defense still gives up 28.1 points per game they have been opportunistic. Texas Tech has 12 takeaways and two defensive touchdowns to their credit which were instrumental in wins against Oklahoma State and TCU.
When Oklahoma Has the Ball
The Oklahoma offense can score at will as they average 48.9 points per game (4th nationally) and collate an insane fourth-ranked 548.2 yards of total offense per game. When quarterback Kyler Murray has this unit firing on all cylinders they are very difficult to stop as they have playmakers scattered across their skill positions, including running back Trey Sermon, and wide receivers Marquise “Hollywood” Brown and CeeDee Lamb. Lamb and Brown have collectively gathered over 1,300 yards from scrimmage and 16 scores on the season.
Two betting trends, in particular, reinforce the value here on Texas Tech in this spot. First off, the Home Team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Secondly, Oklahoma is just 1-4 ATS in the previous five contests between both teams. For “Over takers” out there, the Over is 6-1 ATS in the last seven matches between OU and TT.
The weather calls for partly cloudy skies with temperatures hanging around the 50’s for the most part. This game will be a night game so the thermometer will continue to fall throughout the course of the game. However, this will have little effect on the game with humidity levels staying around 50% with a low percentage of precipitation.
Keith’s Pick to Cover the Spread: Texas Tech +11
The Over/Under in this contest (77.5) calls for a shootout. In such an event, the appropriate move is to take the points if the dog is being granted any more than a touchdown. Fortunately, Texas Tech has been awarded nearly two scores to work with. We have to like that prospect considering Texas Tech’s offense against Oklahoma’s defense. The Sooners defense when up against a high-octane offense can find itself a bit beleaguered. As a result, Oklahoma’s former DC Mike Stoops was sacked after the Sooners lost to Texas, just a weeks ago. This is the most prolific offense that Oklahoma will face since his termination, and that makes the Sooners a very dicey play here spotting points in a hostile road environment. An upset by the Red Raiders is not out of the question here.
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