College Football Picks
This should be deemed “The Sooners Shoudn’t Be Here Bowl” sponsored by the Utah Utes and Georgia Bulldogs. Losses by both teams opened the door for the Sooners to participate in the college football playoffs semifinal game vs. the top ranked LSU Tigers. We’re predicting the Peach Bowl will be a smash spot for Ed Orgeron’s crew. The Tigers are 10-3-2 ATS in the last 15 contests and have covered 5 straight against their last 5 Big 12 opponents.
In the eyes of Nick Saban, anything less than a championship is a failure. For us college football bettors outside of the state of Alabama, all we care about is a cover. The Tide will still be without Tua, but Mac Jones didn’t get to Alabama being an average QB. Don’t give up on Bama here as they still have an group of receivers and coach who hates to lose.
It’s not often that you get a pair of 10-win squads in one of the early bowl games, but that’s what we’ve got here as SMU and Florida Atlantic will play on the Owls’ home turf. If FAU is going to pull off the “W”, they’ll need to do it without their head coach Lane Kiffin, who has moved on to coach Ole Miss. With so much up in the air here, Dan prefers to bet the over/under in this game.
App State hasn’t played the toughest schedule, but they still stands out here with only won loss on the season. UAB on the other hand has proven that they struggle stepping up in competition scoring 13 or fewer points in all four of their losses. Is App St. 16.5 points better is the main question?
The low point spread in the Academy Sports & Outdoors Texas Bowl is surprisingly low when you take strength of conference into consideration. SEC college football teams are much more powerful than Big 12 teams. Even Okie State coach Mike Gundy says TAMU is the best 7-5 team in college football bowl history! I think you know which way we’re betting this one!
How is it that when we think of the Huskies and Broncos we envision Chris Peterson coaching both teams? To be completely candid, this game is super wonky and probably should be avoided unless you’re a degenerate gambler that absolutely has to have action on it! Nonetheless, Loot gives his take on who he thinks will cover the Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl point spread.
When figuring out who to bet on smaller college football teams in smaller conferences, strength of opponents becomes a major variable. With the MAC being the weakest conference in the FBS, the Utah State Aggies kind of become attractive laying -7.5.
Chippewas coach Jim McElwain has done a nice job turning the Central Michigan program around from a 1-11 season, however, he’ll be up against it in the New Mexico Bowl against the stingy run defense of Rocky Long’s San Diego State Aztecs. This game is likely to be light on fireworks but packs some good punch with regards to betting value as we believe San Diego St. will cash out another ticket here.
In the first bowl of the college football season we have too hot clubs battling out in the 2019 Bahamas Bowl at Thomas Robinson Stadium in Naussau. The Bulls are four points away from being on a seven game unbeaten streak and Charlotte comes in riding a five game run of their own. Get our handicapper’s college bowl pick.
Navy has by far the better record this season both straight up and against the spread, but when these two teams play you can normally throw out the season’s stats. Army has dominated the ticket cashing going 4-0-1 ATS in the L5 meetings. That said the UNDER has been the biggest trend going 14-2 in the L16.
These two teams met just last Friday with Memphis getting the 34 to 24 win but Cincinnati +13.5 getting the money. This time around the line is a lowered to Memphis just a -9.5 favorite. Read on to get our handicapper’s take and free point spread pick.
Can anyone stop the Clemson Tigers? Their defensive allowance of 10.1 points per game is shrewd to say the least. Putting it mildly, all of the Cavalier’s strengths play into the strengths of Clemson. Virginia has had a nice season at 9-3 but the parade is likely to stop here in the ACC Championship game.
It’s always a red flag when the public is betting a college football underdog to the tune of 75%, which is the case as these two 11-1 teams play for the Big 12 Championship. Bettors are obviously remembering when the Baylor Bears where up four scores on the Sooners, only to blow the fat lead and lose. To astute handicappers, the comeback shows the dominance Jalen Hurts and Co. can command when full effort is exercised.
The Boise State Broncos get a huge boost with the Mountain West Title Game taking place on their home turf. Nick Rolovich has done a heck of a job turning the Hawaii college football program around, but it’ll be a tall task to go into Albertson’s Stadium and steal a win, much less a cover.
The Pac-12 Championship may end up being a one-sided affair. The Oregon Ducks are talented on paper, but always seem to struggle on the road and versus good teams. The Utah Utes have been a finely tuned machine, winning 11 of 12 games and covering 75% of their games at a 9-3 clip. Expect more of the same from both of these teams.
Between the dominance shown by the LSU and the fact that they won this very same matchup by 20 points with most of the same players last year, it’s surprising to see the SEC Championship game come out with an opening line of the Tigers only being favored by 7 points. Check out Jay’s take on how he thinks the game will play out!
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