College Football Picks
Wisconsin was a little flat last week against Northwestern after their 35-14 beat-down of Michigan in their previous game. It would be logical to expect a more spirited display this week against an overmatched Kent State team. The Golden Flashes have had an extra week off to prepare but this team has already proven that they can’t stop the run against the top rung running teams allowing 467 yards on the ground to Auburn.
Strength of schedule is always an important variable to take into consideration when betting college football games. The Quack Attack of Oregon is a good football squad, but who have they played? Another important variable to take into consideration in NCAA football wagering are “key numbers”. These are common final score margins. The number 17 is one of the most common margins and as you can see by this Week 6 point spread, the bookies have conveniently built in a nice cushion for themselves with the +18. It’s Cal or nothing here.
Michigan State has already suffered a loss on the season and were all out to beat Indiana last week. Ohio State has been destroying teams and last week’s 48-7 defeat of Nebraska was ultra-impressive. The biggest question in this game is not who will win, it is by how much. Can the Buckeyes cover this 19.5 point spread line?
The Gators are 5-0 this season, but who have they beaten? In their opener, they beat a mediocre Miami team by four and they beat SEC rival Kentucky by eight but were trailing deep into the fourth before rallying with two late TDs. Auburn is also unbeaten in five matches but not one of their opponents has a losing record on the season. Get Dan’s prediction.
The Hawkeyes are undefeated, and they give the appearance of a team getting stronger each week. The Wolverines got back on track with a 52-0 slaughter of Rutgers after being embarrassed by the Badgers 35-14. Michigan can resurrect their season with a victory on Saturday but laying the -3.5 may not be prudent against a top level opponent.
The early season is certainly not something the Vols want to dwell on losing all three FBS games and picking up their only win over FCS Chattanooga. There first SEC test came last week and it was dismal falling 34-3 to the Gators on the road. They now meet a rested opponent coming off a tough game which should have them fully focused. This may get ugly. Frank’s weighs out the big line and gives out his value play.
The Sooners have destroyed all four opponents this season outscoring the opposition 222-75 with an average margin of victory being 37 points. This week’s line has Oklahoma as a -34.5 point favorite with a total line of 67. Can Kansas stay within that spread? Get Dan’s betting analysis & prediction.
The Pac 12 has turned into quite the wonky conference over the past few years where literally anything can happen on any given night (except for in this case). The pass-happy Huskies are absolutely going to destroy a Stanford team that has the worst secondary in the conference and who barely beat the pathetic Oregon State Beavers last week. The bookies are trying to bait bettors with a nice hook at +14.5, but it’s not enough to warrant investing your money.
A whopping 72% are wagering on the University of Central Florida Friday night at Cincinnati and the line has moved a measly half point. This should tell you something! Cinci is a LIVE DOG here! A GOOD college football team playing in a BIG game at home in a featured spot. Upset alert!
In a game most wouldn’t usually bet, all eyes will be seeking value and betting on these two turds Friday night as they’ll be the late college football game on CBSSN. One edge in play is that home field advantage and travel carry more value in NCAA football with regards to winning games and beating spreads. In this case, the Lobos were in Virginia last week and now have to travel to California. New Mexico has been outscored by 29 points per game in their two road contests this season.
Temple rebounded nicely from their shocking 38-24 defeat to Buffalo as a -14 point spread road favorite to knock off Georgia Tech 24-2. Owls backers will have to lay double digits on the road again when they travel to East Carolina to take on the Pirates. ECU is fresh off their only victory against a FBS team this season beating lowly Old Dominion.
Virginia comes into the match with some negative trends including on the road and versus ranked teams. Do you fade the Cavs and lay the -12 on the Irish or does Virginia step it up and get the point spread cover? Get ND expert Mike Mann’s suggested wager.
The Washington State Cougars scored 63 points last week AND LOST! Bookmakers are expecting a much lower scoring game this week and wiseguys are as well, as this game total opened at 59 and has dropped to 56.5. The general betting public is getting duped, as they’re on the OVER to the tune of 73%!
Mississippi State has done well in SEC play as of late, going 4-1 ATS against SEC foes in its past five league games. Here’s the bad news: Only one of those four wins came outside of Starkville. Mississip-pi State has lost five of its past six against the spread when it’s gone on the road, and that’s a big problem going into the Jungle, where Auburn has been incredibly tough to defeat.
The USC Trojans have overcome adversity to make themselves a formidable opponent. With the Huskies losing at home to Cal earlier this season, it proves that they’re vulnerable. Sharp bettors are licking their chops to take a shot at the +10 underdog point spread here.
The UCLA Bruins come to Tucson for a Pac-12 showdown with the Arizona Wildcats on Saturday at Arizona Stadium. For Arizona, it’s been a strange start to the season, as they are just now opening their conference schedule. They lost in week one to Hawaii, returning two weeks later to beat NAU, followed by a win over Texas Tech. Two weeks later and here they are, at home against the Bruins. Get my take on which team will be the point spread winner.
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