Texas A&M Aggies vs Ole Miss Rebels Pick & Predictions

by | Last updated Oct 31, 2023 | cfb

Texas A&M Aggies (5-3 SU, ATS 4-4) vs Ole Miss Rebels (7-1 SU, ATS 5-2)

Date: Saturday, November 4th

Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: TAMU +3/Miss -3 (Move the line 20 points either way with a massive 20 point college football teaser only found at Wagerweb Sportsbook!)

Money Line: Texas A&M +130/Ole Miss -159

Over/Under: 53.5

The Texas A&M Aggies and Ole Miss Rebels matchup in an SEC showdown at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS. The over/under for this matchup is currently 53.5 while Ole Miss is favored by -3.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, Ole Miss picked up the 31-28 win (last year). Offensively, Ole Miss ran for 390 yards and put up 140 in the passing game. On the other side, Texas A&M ended the game with 480 yards of offense.

Texas A&M Aggies Recent Form:

Texas A&M’s 30-17 victory against South Carolina has put their record at 5-3 as they gear up for this week’s clash with Ole Miss.

Combining for 47 points, the teams fell short of the over/under line of 51.5. Texas A&M was favored to win by 17.5 going into the game, giving them an ATS loss.

Against South Carolina, Max Johnson threw for 249 yards on a completion percentage of 66.7%. In the win, he threw one touchdown and had a passer rating of 103.33.

Texas A&M’s leading rusher against South Carolina was Amari Daniels, who, along with rushing for 68 yards, he found the endzone one time in his 13 attempts. Ainias Smith emerged as the team’s top receiver, scoring one touchdown and making six receptions for 118 yards.

Texas A&M’s defense gave up 209 yards of offense vs. South Carolina. In the passing game, they allowed 176 yards, while on the ground they gave up 33 yards. The Texas A&M defense holds the 69th position in points allowed, allowing 19.5 points per game. Teams have an average of 173.1 passing yards per game against them (28th nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 96.8 rushing yards, placing them 19th in college football.

Away Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Jardin Gilbert DB Shoulder Out
Conner Weigman QB Ankle Out
Donovan Green TE Knee Out
Le’Veon Moss RB Hamstring Probable
Raymond Cottrell WR Foot Questionable

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Ole Miss Rebels Recent Form:

Going into their game vs. Texas A&M, the Ole Miss Rebels are coming off a 33-7 win over the Vanderbilt Commodores and have an above .500 record of 7-1.

With an over/under line of 64 going into the game, the teams fell short of that number with 40 points. Ole Miss covered the spread as 24-point favorites.

In Ole Miss’ win over Vanderbilt, quarterback Jaxson Dart had one touchdown through the air and added one touchdown on the ground. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 240 yards while achieving a completion rate of 67.9%.

Quinshon Judkins was Ole Miss’ leading rusher vs. Vanderbilt, carrying the ball 17 times for 124 yards and two touchdowns. Dayton Wade had a stellar performance as the team’s top receiver, scoring one touchdown and making eight receptions for 120 yards.

Against Vanderbilt, the Rebels defense was excellent against Vanderbilt, giving up just 7 points on 229 yards allowed. Vanderbilt’s passing game finished with 60 yards. Up-front, Ole Miss gave up 3.8 yards per attempt. The Rebels’ defense has allowed 135.4 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 139th. Opponents are averaging 218.9 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 77.9 against Ole Miss. They currently rank 63rd in points allowed in the NCAA.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Qua Davis WR Undisclosed Out

Betting Trends

  • Looking at Texas A&M’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 1-4.
  • Looking across Ole Miss’ ten most recent home games, they are 5-4-1 against the spread.
  • Ole Miss’ ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 2-1.
  • Looking back on the last five times Texas A&M was favored, their ATS record was 3-2.

Free Pick

Heading into this matchup, I see there being a ton of value in taking Ole Miss at -3 at home. Even though the A&M defense looked pretty good against South Carolina, I see the Rebels offense having a big game. I’m taking Ole Miss to cover.

Best Parlays

2 Team Parlay 3 Team Parlay 4 Team Parlay
sportsbetting 2.64 to 1 6 to 1 12.3 to 1
Bovada 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1
Mybookie 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1