Virginia Cavaliers vs Syracuse Orange Week 4 Pick ATS

by | Sep 19, 2022 | cfb

Virginia Cavaliers 2-1 SU / ATS 0-3-0 vs Syracuse Orange 3-0 SU / ATS 0-3-0

Date: Friday, September 23rd

Location: JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Cavaliers +9.5/Orange -9.5 (You can make Virginia +29.5 or Syracuse +10.5 by inserting them into a massive 20 point college football teaser only found at Wagerweb!)

Money Line: Cavaliers +302/Orange -400

Over/Under: 55.0

RECENT FORM

This year, Cavaliers have an overall record of 2-1. The team will be playing its first game in
the Atlantic Coast. This season, the Cavaliers have been favored in 2 game while posting an ATS
mark of 0-3-0. Their average over-under betting line is 56.17 leading to an over-under record of
0-3-0.

In their most recent game, the Cavaliers defeated Old Dominion by a score of 16-14. But, they
were unable to grab the ATS win, as their 2 was not enough to cover the spread. Virginia ended
the game with a total of 284 passing yards on 37 attempts. However, they did not find the
endzone. On the ground, the team ended with 1 rushing touchdown, while averaging 5.1 yards per
carry for a total of 229 yards.

The team’s leading quarterback is Brennan Armstrong, who comes into the game with a passer
rating of 69.49. Heading into this week’s game, he has a total of 710 passing yards. Through the
air, the team will be looking for a big game from leading receiver, Keytaon Thompson. On the
season, he has caught 18 for 235 yards. The Cavaliers have turned to running back Perris Jones a
total of 37 times for a total of 186 rushing yards.

This season, the Orange look to continue playing well against Atlantic Coast teams, as they
are 1-0. Their overall record is 3-0. This season, the Orange have been favored in 1 game while
posting an ATS mark of 0-3-0. Their average over-under betting line is 55.0 leading to an
over-under record of 2-1-0.

This week, the Orange will look to pick up another win, as they are coming off a 32-29 win
over Purdue. With the 3 point victory, Syracuse also covered the spread. The team finished the
game throwing for 3 touchdown passes. Overall, the Orange had 181 passing yards on a completion
percentage of 43.3%. In the rushing game, the Orange did not find the endzone, while finishing
with a total of 125 yards on the ground.

Quarterback Garrett Shrader comes in the game having completed 51 of 77 passes for a passer
rating of 130.28. Wide receiver Oronde Gadsden II, has come up with the most production for the
team, with a total of 193 receiving yards. The top option in the run game for the team is Sean
Tucker, who has carried the ball 66 times for a total of 254 yards.

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BETTING TRENDS

Against the spread, the Cavaliers have gone 4-6-0 over their last 10 games. Straight up they
have a record of 5-5-0. The team averaged 29.7 points in these games, while allowing 29.9. Their
last 10 over-under record is 3-7-0.

Over their last 10 games, the Orange have covered the spread at a rate of 50.0%. In these
games, they posted a straight up mark of 5-5-0. Their last 10 over-under record comes in at
5-5-0. Syracuse has a negative scoring differential in these games, averaging 25.8 points
per-game and allowing 26.2.

More Picks: Check out our Nevada vs. Air Force analysis and free pick

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Cavaliers will look to improve their offensive output,
as they are ranked just 117th in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, Virginia has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 236.67
passing yards per-game. This week, the Cavaliers will be facing a Syracuse defense that is ranked
103rd in pass yards allowed per-game. So far, they are averaging 265.0 yards per-game when facing
defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the Virginia offense is averaging just 176.67 yards per-game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 38.67 rush attempts per-game (53rd). This week, the
Cavaliers will be facing a Syracuse defense that is ranked 31st in rush yards allowed per-game.
So far, they are averaging 42.0 yards per-game when facing top 25 rush defenses.

Going into the game, the Cavaliers defensive unit is 41st in the NCAA in points allowed
per-game at 18.33.

Heading into the game, the Orange are ranked 44th in points per-game.

This season, the Orange have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 245.33
passing yards per-game. This week, the Orange will be facing a Virginia defense that is ranked
71st in pass yards allowed per-game. This year, they are averaging 245.33 yards per-game when
facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

This season, the Syracuse offense has struggled in the run game, averaging just 163.0 yards
per-game on the ground. In terms of attempts, they rank 29th in the NCAA at 42.0 per contest.
This week, the Orange will be facing a Virginia defense that is ranked 82nd in rush yards allowed
per-game. So far, they are averaging 182.0 yards per-game when facing defenses ranked outside the
top 50.

Going into the game, the Orange defensive unit is 32nd in the NCAA in points allowed per-game
at 16.67.

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