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2019 Blue Grass Stakes Picks – Race Predictions

by | Apr 6, 2019 | Horse Betting

Vekoma the pick to catch Somelikeithotbrown in packed Bluegrass Stakes

Event:Blue Grass Stakes-G2, Keeneland
When: Race 10, Saturday, April 6, 2019
Age: 3-Year-Olds
Distance: 1 1 1/8-miles.
Surface: Dirt. Purse: $1 Million

2019 Blue Grass Stakes Race Predictions

  1. Vekoma
  2. Somelikeithotbrown
  3. Win Win Win

Wild Card: Dream Maker
Superfecta Longshots: Sir Winston, Aquadini

More Derby Prep Picks: Santa Anita Derby and Wood Memorial

Blue Grass Stakes Analysis

The 2019 Bluegrass Stakes is a great betting race with 14 horses, which should result in better odds on our picks. The favorites look logical, as even minimal improvement on their previous races will make them very tough to beat.

Vekoma is the logical choice off his third-place finish in the Fountain of Youth-G2 at Gulfstream Park in his first start off the layoff on March 2. Last year’s Nashua Stakes-G2 winner made a nice move outside winner Honor Code in that race and only flattened out late. He should sit a good trip just behind the pacesetters in here and they’ll have to run to beat him late with top jockey Javier Castellano aboard.

Somelikeithotbrown is the really interesting horse in here, coming off back-to-back victories over the Turfway Park synthetic in the John Battaglia Memorial and the Jeff Ruby Steaks-G3, and yes we spelled that correctly. This horse likes to be close to the lead or on it, and he does have some class to him, having finished third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf-G1 last year.

Somelikeithotbrown has also won going the Bluegrass distance of 1 1/8-miles, on both synthetic and turf. The questions is whether he can run on dirt. The only time he ever ran on dirt was in his debut at Saratoga and he finished seventh over a sloppy track. He’s impossible to judge on dirt off that race. In his last race going 1 1/8-miles, he set a fast pace and justifiably drifted in the drive, but still won by 3 ¼-lengths. There’s not a lot of speed in here, and he should be the horse to get by as they turn for home.