Angels vs. Braves Odds & Pick 7/24/22

by | Jul 24, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs Atlanta Braves
Date: Sunday, July 24th, 01:35 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: Bally Sports Southeast
Money Line: Angels +156 / Braves -190
Total Line: 9.0
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STARTING PITCHING

Los Angeles: Reid Detmers (2-3, 4.11)
Atlanta: Ian Anderson (8-5, 4.79)

Angels Projected Lineup

Jonathan Villar 2B
Max Stassi C
Jo Adell RF
Jared Walsh 1B
Brandon Marsh LF
Taylor Ward CF
Luis Rengifo 2B
Michael Stefanic 2B
DH Shohei Ohtani
Reid Detmers P

Braves Projected Lineup

Adam Duvall CF
Orlando Arcia 2B
Marcell Ozuna LF
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Travis d’Arnaud C
Austin Riley 3B
Michael Harris II CF
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Ian Anderson P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Los Angeles Angels: 39-55-0 SU / OU 41-46-7 / Run Line W/L 42-52-0
Atlanta Braves: 58-38-0 SU / OU 48-45-3 / Run Line W/L 50-46-0

The Atlanta Braves host the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, July 24th at Truist Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-190), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Angels come into this matchup having suffered a 5 run loss to the Braves (7-2). Los Angeles’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 11 hits, leading to 7 runs. With their 8 hits, the Angels could only muster 2 runs. The loss came as Los Angeles was the betting underdog, getting 205.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.5 runs. Games involving the Angels have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 41-46-7.

The Angels will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 0-5 over their last 5 games. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -27. On offense, Los Angeles’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 1.4 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Los Angeles’s overall series record is just 11-16-3.

In their last game, the Atlanta Braves picked up a 5 run win over the Angels by a score of 7-2. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Angels to 2 runs and 8 hits. Offensively, they finished with 7 runs on 11 hits. Heading into action, Atlanta was the favorite at -230.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 82 games, winning at a rate of 67.0%. The Braves and Angels went over the run total line set at 8.5 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 48-45-3.

Across their last 5 contests, the Braves are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +15. Compared to their season average, the Braves come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 6.4 runs per game. On the season, Atlanta has won more than half of their series, going 15-10-5.

Pitching Matchup

Reid Detmers gets the start for the Angels, with an overall record of 2-3. To date, Detmers has an ERA of 4.11 while lasting an average of 5.0 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.199 against Detmers. Home runs have been a concern for Detmers as he is allowing 1.41 per 9 innings. This season, he has struck out 20.0 of the batters he has faced. This has led to a per game average of 4.07. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Detmers is averaging 3.21 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Atlanta turns to starter Ian Anderson. For the year, he has a record of 8-5. To date, Anderson has an ERA of 4.79 while lasting an average of 5.11 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.263. So far, Anderson has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.98 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Ian Anderson has a strong K% of 20.0%, including a per game average of 4.39. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.4 walks per outing.

Los Angeles vs Atlanta History

For the season, the Los Angeles Angels and Atlanta Braves will be playing their 3rd game of the season. Atlanta holds the edge in the series at 2-0. Through 2 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-0, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.0 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 0-0. In these 0 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 0-0. Last year, the Angels and Braves averaged nan runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of nan runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels’s last 7 games when playing Atlanta
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing LA Angels

Los Angeles Angels at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s matchup between Los Angeles and Atlanta, the Braves are the favorite to come away with the home win. However, I recommend taking the Angels to pull off the upset, as Reid Detmers has pitched better than his overall record suggests. Throughout the season, the Los Angeles offense has failed to give Detmers proper run support. However, Atlanta starter Ian Anderson is prone to giving up walks, which could give the Angels a chance at a few big innings.

Free MLB Pick: Angels Moneyline

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