Angels vs. Red Sox Odds & Predictions

by | Last updated May 5, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, May 5th, 01:35 ET

Location: Fenway Park

TV: MLBN (out-of-market only)

Money Line: Angels -140 / Red Sox +117 (BAS – Bet on MLB games for cheaper prices!)

Total Line: 8


Los Angeles: Shohei Ohtani (2-2, 5.52)
Boston: Rich Hill (0-1, 3.71)

Angels Projected Lineup

C Max Stassi
SS David Fletcher
1B Jared Walsh
2B Jack Mayfield
SS Andrew Velazquez
DH Shohei Ohtani
3B Anthony Rendon
RF Taylor Ward
CF Mike Trout

Red Sox Projected Lineup

1B Bobby Dalbec
C Christian Vázquez
LF J.D. Martinez
LF Alex Verdugo
2B Christian Arroyo
3B Rafael Devers
SS Xander Bogaerts
2B Trevor Story
CF Enrique Hernández


Los Angeles Angels: 16-10-0 SU / OU 11-14-1 / Run Line W/L 13-13-0
Boston Red Sox: 10-15-0 SU / OU 8-17-0 / Run Line W/L 14-11-0

The Boston Red Sox host the Los Angeles Angels on Thursday, May 5th at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-140), with an OU line set at 8.

Recent Form

The Los Angeles Angels will look to pick up another big win, after they defeated the Boston by a score of 10-5. Boston came up with 8 leading to 8 runs against Los Angeles’s pitchers. The Angels lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up 8 hits, leading to 10 runs. Los Angeles picked up the win, despite getting 122.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Angels and Boston combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.0 runs. On the season, Los Angeles’s over-under record is 11-14-1.

The Angels will be hoping to pick up a win in Today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. This mark has come on a an average run margin of -5. On offense, Los Angeles’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 3.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, Los Angeles has won over half of their 8 series played, going 4-2-2.

Boston is coming off a 5 runs loss to LA Angels. Dropping the game 10-5. Boston’s pitching staff gave up 8 hits, leading to 10 runs for the LA Angels. In the loss, the Red Sox offense still came up with 8 hits and 10 runs. Leading into the game, Boston was the betting favorite at -132.0. So far, the team has won 46.0% of their games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Red Sox and LA Angels combined to surpass the line of 8.0 runs. So far, Boston has an over-under record of just 8-17-0.

The Red Sox come into Today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -4. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 3.6 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.60. Boston has a below .500 series record of just 1-5-2.

Pitching Matchup

For the Angels, Shohei Ohtani gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 2-2. To date, Ohtani has an ERA of 4.19. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.213. Despite opposing team’s finding success getting on base against Ohtani, he has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing 1 home run per 9 innings. On the season, Shohei Ohtani has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 38.0%.

For the Red Sox, Rich Hill gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 0-1. Leading up to the game, Hill is hoping to bring down an ERA of 3.71. So far, he is averaging 4.25 innings per outing. Opposing lineups have put together a combined batting average of 0.25 against Hill. In terms of power, the left-hander is giving up 1 homers per 9 innings pitched. Heading into Today’s action, Rich Hill is averaging 2.75 K’s per 9 innings.

Los Angeles vs Boston History

So far, the Boston Red Sox and Los Angeles Angels have met up 2 times. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Los Angeles and Boston each have 1 win. Through 2 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at 8.83 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.5 runs. When looking back to last season, Los Angeles and Boston split the season series, with each team picking up 3. In these 6 meetings, the two team’s combined for an over-under record of 1-5. Last year, the Angles and Red Sox averaged 8.83 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.5 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Angels are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
  • Angels are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 12-26 in their last 38 games as a home underdog.
  • Red Sox are 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog.

Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Prediction

In this matchup, I like the Angels to pick up the road win, as Shohei Ohtani is facing off against Boston’s 26th ranked scoring offense vs right-handed pitching. On the other side, the Angels are 3rd in both runs scored and batting average. Look for LA’s lineup to have a good game against Rich Hill.

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