Arizona (1st – NL West) at San Francisco (3rd – NL West)
Where: AT&T Park, San Francisco
When: June 4th, 2018 10:10PM ET
Moneyline: Diamondbacks -109 / Giants -101
Over/Under: 7.5
By expert handicapper Rich Crew
In their last game the Diamondbacks beat the Miami Marlins 6-1 for their third consecutive win. The victory was also the fifth on a successful homestand that was a profitable one for their backers winning five of their six games. They now hit the road for a six game road trip that has them visiting San Francisco and Colorado.
The Giants beat the Philadelphia Phillies 6-1 on for their fourth straight win and third straight at home. They’ve now won five straight dating back to a set with Colorado to move their record up to a decent 17-10 at AT&T Park.
Arizona has taken four of the six games played this season including a pair here at AT&T back in early April. Today’s two starters were on the mound for the season opener between these NL West rivals and the Diamondbacks got the money in a narrow 2-1 win.
Statistically this season the Diamondbacks rank 27th in runs scored and 4th in team ERA and the Giants rank 22nd in runs scored and 22nd in team ERA.
Pitching Match-Up
Arizona: Zack Godley (5-4 4.38 ERA)
San Francisco: Derek Holland (3-6 4.94 ERA)
Godley is coming off one of his better performances of the season allowing two earned runs on six hits over six innings to record the QS in a 5-2 win over the Cincinnati Reds. The Diamondbacks had lost his previous three starts that included two duds where he gave up ten runs over 9 2/3 innings. Godley’s second start of the season came against the Giants and he had a great one allowing four hits through seven scoreless innings in a 2-1 Arizona win.
In Holland’s last start he gave up four earned runs on eight hits over five innings getting the win in a 7-4 Giants victory over the Colorado Rockies. San Francisco had lost his previous two starts where he was tagged with six earned runs in 12 innings of work. Holland also opposed Godley in his second outing of the season going six innings and allowing up two earned runs in the 2-1 San Francisco loss. The Giants have lost five of Holland’s last seven starts against a team with a winning record.
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
Arizona Diamondbacks: 31-27 SU / O/U 26-30 / Run Line W/L 29-29
San Francisco Giants: 29-30 SU / O/U 29-27 / Run Line W/L 34-25
Betting Trends
- Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 6 games
- Arizona is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 games on the road
- Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
- San Francisco is 4-1 straight up in its last 5 games
- San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games at home
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 7 games when playing Arizona
Public Money
The public is wagering on the Diamondbacks with 58% of the money line bets being placed on the visitor. The sharps think this game will go the other way with the smarter money backing the home side. The O/U betting has the public favoring the OVER 56%.
Diamondbacks at Giants Prediction 6/4/18
Arizona comes into this game on a hot streak, winners of four of five, but they didn’t beat much sweeping the Marlins and taking two of three against the Reds. Before the success against the bottom-feeders of the NL they were on a bankroll crushing 2-15 overall including a dismal 1-8 as a visitor. The Diamondbacks starter Zack Godley was impressive in his early season start against the Giants on this very same field picking up the “W” in a 2-1 win. Since then he’s 1-3 on the road recording a QS in just one of the five games and brings an overall road ERA of 5.81 into the game.
San Francisco has won four straight games and bring a five-game home win streak into this match. The offense looked sharp getting to Phillies excellent starter Jake Arrieta for five runs over six innings. Over the five-game stretch they’ve put up 30 runs and while they only put up ten versus the Philadelphia in three games they faced a strong group of starters. Giants starter Derek Holland took the loss in the earlier meeting getting to him for two runs in the first before he settled down finishing with a stat line of six innings pitched allowing two runs on two hits and picking up eight strikeouts while walking just one.
Arizona is a very good 14-7 vs. left-handed pitching this season and averaging more than 5.09 runs per game based on 9IP. San Francisco starter Derek Holland may have his work cut out for him tonight with the wind blowing out and propensity for allowing the long ball when he pitches at night (8HRs in 41IPs). He also hasn’t been impressive at home with a 1-2 markand a 5.75 ERA. That risk takes the side play on the Giants off the table for me making the total line the way to go tonight.
Rich Crew’s Pick: Take the OVER 7.5 at a sportsbook that offers dimeline wagering on MLB games. Check out Intertops today and take advantage of their 100% welcome bonus!
