Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees – The Fat Lady Sings Tonight

by | Last updated Sep 25, 2023 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees
Date: Monday, September 25th, 1:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Diamondbacks -125/Yankees +105
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Diamondbacks on Monday, September 25th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
ARI -125 -1.5 O 7.5 (-111)
NYY +105 +1.5 U 7.5 (-110)

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Corbin Carroll 1 RF
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Tommy Pham 3 LF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Alek Thomas 5 CF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 6 DH
Gabriel Moreno 7 C
Jace Peterson 8 3B
Geraldo Perdomo 9 SS
Merrill Kelly SP


Batting Order Position
DJ LeMahieu 1 1B
Aaron Judge 2 RF
Gleyber Torres 3 2B
Austin Wells 4 C
Giancarlo Stanton 5 DH
Anthony Volpe 6 SS
Oswald Peraza 7 3B
Oswaldo Cabrera 8 LF
Estevan Florial 9 CF
Clarke Schmidt SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 82-73 SU / OU 69-79 / Runline 85-70
New York Yankees: 78-77 SU / OU 69-76 / Runline 75-80

The Diamondbacks head into today’s game vs. the Yankees with an overall record of 82-73. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are 14 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 39-38 and 43-35, respectively. Arizona’s overall series record sits at 28-19-4.

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 54.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
  • The Diamondbacks have been favored in 44.5% of their games and have runline records of 43-35 and 42-35 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 69-79.

Heading into today’s action, the Yankees’ record of 78-77 has them sitting 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 18.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 37-38 and 41-39, respectively. New York’s overall series record sits at 21-22-7.

  • The Yankees have covered the runline in 48.4% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
  • The Yankees have been favored in 61.3% of their games and have runline records of 34-46 and 41-34 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 69-76.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Merrill Kelly 28 28 165 12-7 3.37 1.20 19


The Diamondbacks will turn to starter Merrill Kelly who has an overall record of 12-7. After 28 appearances, his ERA is 3.37 and he has a K/9 figure of 9.62. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.86 and an OBP of .291.

In his last outing, Merrill Kelly finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 7-1 victory over the Giants. Kelly gave up one run and three hits across 6 2/3 innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Clarke Schmidt 31 30 151 9-9 4.65 1.33 23


Clarke Schmidt heads into the game with an overall record of 9-9 and an ERA of 4.65. In his 14 appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 6.59 and record of 5-3. At home, he has put together a mark of 4-6 and ERA of 4.17. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.33, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .261. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .442.

Having allowed four runs on four hits in five innings against the Blue Jays, Clarke Schmidt is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Yankees.

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

This season, Arizona is ranked 14th in the league in runs scored at 4.7 runs per contest. So far, they are near the middle of the pack in home runs, hitting a combined 163 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .253 is 10th in the league. On the road, they are 17th in batting average compared to 7th at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Corbin Carroll .275 12 .476 .356
Christian Walker .246 15 .457 .331
Ketel Marte .252 13 .465 .343
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. .258 9 .416 .309
Geraldo Perdomo .275 3 .378 .335


Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Corbin Carroll .400 6 5 1 .667
Christian Walker .444 5 3 1 .778
Gabriel Moreno .383 5 1 0 .450
Ketel Marte .250 2 1 1 .625
Tommy Pham .222 2 2 0 .222


Up to this point in the season, the Yankees have emerged as one of the premier home run-hitting teams in baseball, accumulating 213 home runs (7th). On the whole, New York averages 4.2 runs per game and boasts a cumulative batting average of .226. In home games, the Yankees have a slugging percentage of .407, as opposed to .371 in away games.

New York Yankees Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Gleyber Torres .270 .342 .455 66 25 13
Aaron Judge .268 .404 .610 71 35 3
Anthony Volpe .208 .284 .387 60 21 24


New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Aaron Judge .458 7 3 3 1.229
Estevan Florial .246 4 1 0 .554
Jake Bauers .188 2 2 1 .500
Austin Wells .250 3 1 1 .583
DJ LeMahieu .188 2 2 0 .188


Free MLB Pick

The Yankees have tallied just two wins in their past six games and were held to fewer than two runs in each defeat. NYY starter Clarke Schmidt has been adequate at best in recent starts, allowing three or more runs in four straight while completing the sixth just once. I’m going to pay the small stipend and take the Diamondbacks, who still need to win to secure a Wild Card playoff spot. Take Arizona -120.

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