A’s vs. Mariners Odds, Trends, Betting Predictions

by | Last updated Oct 1, 2022 | mlb

Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Saturday October 1st, 04:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
Money Line: Athletics +205 / Mariners -250
Total Line: 6.5


Oakland: JP Sears (3-0, 2.05)
Seattle: Luis Castillo (4-4, 2.86)

Athletics Projected Lineup

Dermis Garcia 1B
Shea Langeliers C
Jordan Diaz 2B
Conner Capel RF
Vimael Machín 3B
Nick Allen SS
Sean Murphy C
Seth Brown CF
Tony Kemp LF
JP Sears P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Dylan Moore 1B
Curt Casali C
Carlos Santana 1B
Mitch Haniger RF
Sam Haggerty LF
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Abraham Toro 3B
J.P. Crawford SS
Ty France 1B
Luis Castillo P


Oakland Athletics: 56-101-0 SU / OU 69-79-9 / Run Line W/L 76-81-0
Seattle Mariners: 86-70-0 SU / OU 71-78-7 / Run Line W/L 81-75-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Oakland Athletics on Saturday October 1st at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-250), with an OU line set at 6.5.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1 run loss to the Mariners (2-1), the Athletics will look to get back in the win column. Even in the loss, the pitching staff gave up just 2 runs while allowing 6 hits. The Athletics ended the game with just 1 run on 3 hits. Oakland’s loss came as the underdog, getting 200.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 7.0 runs. This outcome pushed Oakland’s over-under record further below .500 at 69-79-9.

Over the Athletics’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 0-5. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -16. A key reason for Oakland’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 2.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 3.48. Oakland’s overall series record is just 12-34-5.

In their last game, the Mariners picked up a close win over the Athletics by a score of 2-1. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Athletics to 1 run and 3 hits. At the plate, the Mariners only came through for 2 runs on 6 hits. In the game, Seattle was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -250.0. So far, the team has won 64.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Mariners and Athletics combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 71-78-7.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 3-2. They have managed to pick up these wins despite having a negative run differential over their last 5 games (-2). Compared to their season average, the Mariners come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 5.4 runs per game. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 26-20-4.

Pitching Matchup

The Oakland Athletics will send JP Sears to the mound with an overall record of 3-0. Currently, Sears has an ERA of just 2.05 while pitching an average of 3.14 innings per outing. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.184. Not only does Sears have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.41 HR/9. Up to this point, Sears has a strikeout percentage of just 18.0% and a per-game average of 2.14. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.05 walks per contest.

The Seattle Mariners will send Luis Castillo to the mound with an overall record of 4-4. In his previous outings, Castillo has lasted an average of 6.07 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.86. So far, batters are hitting just 0.201 against him. This year Castillo is allowing just 0.74 home runs per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Luis Castillo has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. This has led to an average of 6.43 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.96 walks per outing.

Oakland vs Seattle History

For the season, the Oakland Athletics and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 18th game of the season. Seattle holds the edge in the series at 10-7. The over-under record in this series sits at 8-9. The average run total in these games is 8.26 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.76 runs. Seattle won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 15 wins to 4. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 6-13, with the average run total being 8.26 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.79 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • Oakland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s AL West matchup between Oakland and Seattle, the over-under run twootal is set at 6.5 runs. However, look for this to be a higher-scoring game than expected as both pitchers have struggled of late. In particular, Luis Castillo has given up nine earned runs across his last 2 outings.

Free MLB Pick: Over 6.5 Runs