Astros vs. A’s Best Bet 7/25/22

by | Jul 25, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Oakland Athletics

Date: Monday July 25th, 09:40 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: ATT SportsNet-SW

Money Line: Astros -210 / Athletics +170 (BAS - Baseball odds are cheaper here! Why pay more?)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Jake Odorizzi (4-2, 3.56)
Oakland: Adam Oller (0-3, 8.56)

Astros Projected Lineup

Aledmys Díaz LF
Jake Meyers CF
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Jeremy Peña SS
Jake Odorizzi P

Athletics Projected Lineup

Skye Bolt CF
Tony Kemp 2B
Stephen Piscotty RF
Elvis Andrus SS
Ramón Laureano RF
Vimael Machín 3B
Nick Allen 2B
Sean Murphy C
Seth Brown 1B
Adam Oller P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 64-32-0 SU / OU 34-59-3 / Run Line W/L 51-45-0
Oakland Athletics: 35-63-0 SU / OU 39-52-7 / Run Line W/L 48-50-0

The Oakland Athletics host the Houston Astros on Monday, July 25th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-210), with an OU line set at 8.0.

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Recent Form

In their most recent game, Houston picked up a 3 run win over the Mariners (8-5). For the game, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 5 runs on 9 hits. The Astros lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 12 hits, leading to 8 runs. In the matchup, Houston was favored at -110.0 on the moneyline. Through 80 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 70.0%. Together, the Astros and Mariners combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.0 runs. On the season, Houston’s over-under record is 34-59-3.

In their last 5 games, the Astros have gone a perfect 5-0. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +11. Offensively, the team has put up 26 runs in their last 5 games. Houston’s season average comes in at 4.47 (14th. So far, Houston has won over half of their 32 series played, going 21-9-2.

Oakland will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Rangers by the score of 11-8. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 16 hits, leading to 11 runs. Offensively, they finished with 8 runs on 12 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Oakland came into the game as the underdog, getting 125.0. So far, the team has gone into 81 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 35.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Athletics and Rangers combined to surpass the line of 7.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 39-52-7.

Across their last 5 contests, the Athletics are above .500, going 3-2. They have managed to pick up these wins despite having an even run differential over their last 5 games (0). Overall, the Athletics are averaging 3.36 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 4.6 runs per contest. Oakland has a below .500 series record of just 8-21-2.

Pitching Matchup

Jake Odorizzi gets the start for the Astros, with an overall record of 4-2. So far, Odorizzi has put together an ERA of 3.56. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.8 innings. So far, Odorizzi has a batting average allowed of 0.238. This season, Odorizzi has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.56 per 9 innings. Odorizzi is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.6 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 18.0%. Throughout the season, Odorizzi has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.62 per contest.

Adam Oller gets the start for the Athletics, with an overall record of 0-3. Oller gets the start with an ERA of 8.56. On average, he has lasted 2.71 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.31. Home runs have been an issue for Oller, as he is allowing an average of 2.66 per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Oller is averaging just 1.8 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 13.0% of the batters he has faced. Oller comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 6.26 free passes per outing.

Houston vs Oakland History

For the season, the Houston Astros and Oakland Athletics will be playing their 10th game of the season. Houston has the lead in the series at 6-3. Through 9 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-7, with the average run total sitting at 10.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.11 runs. Going back to last year, Houston won the season series, 11 games to 8. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 13-6. Last year, the Astros and Athletics averaged 10.21 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.11 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing Oakland
  • Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland’s last 5 games when playing Houston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oakland’s last 19 games

Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics Prediction

Heading into Monday’s American League showdown between Houston and Oakland, the Astros are the favorite to pick up the win. Even though the Athletics have been playing well of late, I see the gap in starting pitching to be too much to overcome. In his last outing vs Houston, Adam Oller gave up 3 runs over 4 1/3 innings, including 2 home runs. I like the Astros on the moneyline.

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