Astros vs. Blue Jays Predictions 4/29/22

by | Apr 29, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, April 29th, 7:07 ET

Location: Rogers Centre

TV: ATSW

Money Line: Astros +104 / Blue Jays -114 (BAS - Underdogs pay more here due to reduced odds offerings! It’s the only way to bet!)

Total Line: 8.5un -118

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Jose Urquidy (1-1, 5.52)
Toronto: Yusei Kikuchi (0-0, 1.13)

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 10-9-0 SU / OU 6-13-0 / Run Line W/L 7-12-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 13-7-0 SU / OU 7-13-0 / Run Line W/L 9-11-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Houston Astros on Friday, April 29th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 7:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-125), with the total line set at 8.5 runs.

Recent Form

The Astros head into today’s matchup after picking up a close win over Texas by the score of 3-2. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 105.0. Through 4 games as the underdog, the team has a win percentage of 50.0%. On offense, Houston’s lineup put together a total of 7 hits, while the pitching staff allowed 2 runs on 7 hits. Combined, the Astros and Texas fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.5 runs. So far, Houston has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 6-13-0.

The Astros are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 3. In their last 5 contests, Houston is averaging 4.4 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.58. Overall, the team has gone 2-3-1 in their 6 series.

The Blue Jays are coming off a tight 1-0 win over Boston. In the game, Toronto was able to take care of business as they were the favorites at -158.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 13 games, winning at a rate of 77.0%. Offensively, Toronto came up with 6 hits, while the team’s pitching staff allowed 4 hits, leading to 0 runs. With this result, Blue Jays and Boston combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 7-13-0.

In their last 5 games, the Blue Jays have put together a record of 3-2. Toronto has managed to play above .500 baseball, despite their last 5 scoring margin sitting at -1. Offensively, Toronto’s lineup has been steady 4.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests. For the season, the team comes in with a per-game average of 4.00. So far, Toronto has gone 5-0-1 in their 6 series.

Pitching Matchup

For the Astros, Jose Urquidy gets the start with a record of 1-1. To date, Urquidy has an ERA of 5.52 while lasting an average of 4.73 innings per start. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.305. In addition to a high batting average allowed, opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Urquidy, averaging 1.84 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, strikeouts have not been a big part of Urquidy’s game, as he has a strikeout percentage of just 11.3% and a per-game average of 2.33.

For the Blue Jays, Yusei Kikuchi gets the start. So far, he has yet to factor into a decision while posting an of 1.13. So far, he is averaging 4.0 innings per outing. Opposing teams are only batting 0.179 against the righty. However, he is allowing an average of 1.5 homers per 9 innings pitched. Heading into today’s action. Throughout the season, walks have been an issue, as he is giving up 2.5 free passes per outing.

Houston vs Toronto History

So far, the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros have met up 3 times, with Toronto winning the season series 2-1. Through 3 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-2, with the average run total sitting at 11.33 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 1.0 run. Going back to last year, Houston won the season series, 4 games to 2. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-2, while averaging a combined 11.33 runs per game.

Betting Trends

Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Astros are 97-42 in their last 139 during game 1 of a series.
Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Blue Jays are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite.

Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

In this American League matchup, look for the Blue Jays to jump on Astros starter Jose Urquidy, as he has had problems keeping the ball in the ballpark. This is not a good issue to have against one of the top power lineups in the league. Look for the Jays to pick up the win.

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