Astros vs. Mariners Odds, Trends, Predictions, 5/29/22

by | May 29, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Sunday, May 29th, 04:10 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: ATT SportsNet-SW

Money Line: Astros -148 / Mariners +137 (Get these lines at BetOnline - Awesome live betting and the fastest bitcoin payouts on the web!)

Total Line: 8un -115

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Luis Garcia (3-3, 3.38)
Seattle: Marco Gonzales (3-4, 3.74)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Chas McCormick LF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Kyle Tucker RF
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Luis Garcia P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Kyle Lewis CF
Cal Raleigh C
Jesse Winker LF
Taylor Trammell RF
Julio Rodriguez CF
Eugenio Suárez 3B
J.P. Crawford SS
Adam Frazier LF
Ty France 1B
Marco Gonzales P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 29-18-0 SU / OU 12-35-0 / Run Line W/L 23-24-0
Seattle Mariners: 20-27-0 SU / OU 24-22-1 / Run Line W/L 23-24-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Houston Astros on Sunday, May 29th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Astros come into this matchup having suffered a 6-run loss to the Mariners (6-0). Houston’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 13 hits, leading to 6 runs. Offensively, they finished with just 0 runs on 5 hits. Astros suffered the loss, despite being favored at -114.0. Through 38 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 66.0%. Together, the Astros and Seattle stayed below the OU line set at 7.5 runs. With this result, Houston’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 12-35-0.

After their 5 most recent games, the Astros have gone just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -11. A key reason for Houston’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 2.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.06. So far, Houston has won over half of their 15 series played, going 8-6-1.

The Seattle Mariners will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Astros by 6 runs (6-0). In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Astros to 0 runs and 5 hits. At the plate, the Mariners scored 6 times on 13 hits. This was a good win for the Mariners, as they were underdogs at 104.0. So far, the team has gone into 29 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 38.0%. Combined, the Mariner’s and the Astros’ run total fell below the OU line of 7.5 runs. Seattle still has an above .500 OU record at (24-22-1).

Across their last 5 contests, the Mariners are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 8. Compared to their season average, the Mariners come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 5-9-1.

Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send Luis Garcia to the mound with an overall record of 3-3. So far, Garcia has put together an ERA of 3.38. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.28 innings. Through 8 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.206. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Garcia is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.49 homers per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 5.625 per game, on a K rate of 25.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.95 walks per contest.

Marco Gonzales gets the start for the Mariners, with an overall record of 3-4. To date, Gonzales has an ERA of 3.74 while lasting an average of 4.79 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.283. Home runs have been an issue for Gonzales, as he is allowing an average of 1.88 per 9 innings pitched. Gonzales is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.0 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 14.00%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.32 walks per outing.

Houston vs Seattle History

For the season, Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 8th game of the season. So far, the teams have each won 4 times. Through 8th games, the series’ over-under record is 3-5, with the average run total sitting at 9.37 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 5.25 runs. Last season, Houston picked up the series win, 11 games to 8. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 11-7, with the average run total being 9.37 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.79 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston’s last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing Seattle
  • Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
  • Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s American League matchup between Houston and Seattle, the Astros are the betting favorite to pick up the win. I recommend taking Houston to bounce back from yesterday’s loss, as even though Marco Gonzales has a decent ERA at 3.74, he comes into the game with a WHIP of 1.5. Look for the Astros bats to come back to life in a win over Seattle.

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