Astros vs. Mariners Pick – Stakes Are High

by | Last updated Sep 26, 2023 | mlb

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Tuesday, September 26th, 10:05 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: TBS
Money Line: Hou +119/Sea -142 (Are you getting the most bang for your buck? —> MLB Dimelines)
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Astros on Tuesday, September 26th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
HOU +119 +1.5 O 7.5 (-115)
SEA -142 -1.5 U 7.5 (-106)

Astros vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jose Altuve 1 2B
Jeremy Peña 2 SS
Yordan Alvarez 3 DH
Alex Bregman 4 3B
Kyle Tucker 5 RF
José Abreu 6 1B
Michael Brantley 7 LF
Chas McCormick 8 CF
Martín Maldonado 9 C
Cristian Javier SP

 

Batting Order Position
J.P. Crawford 1 SS
Julio Rodríguez 2 CF
Cal Raleigh 3 C
Teoscar Hernández 4 RF
Jarred Kelenic 5 LF
Eugenio Suárez 6 3B
Ty France 7 1B
Dominic Canzone 8 DH
Josh Rojas 9 2B
George Kirby SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Houston Astros: 86-71 SU / OU 82-71 / Runline 78-79
Seattle Mariners: 84-72 SU / OU 79-74 / Runline 75-81

Heading into today’s action, the Astros’ record of 86-71 has them sitting 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they are 2.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 47-29 and 39-42, respectively. Houston’s overall series record sits at 26-19-4.

 

  • The Astros have covered the runline in 49.7% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.8
  • The Astros have been favored in 73.2% of their games and have runline records of 33-48 and 45-31 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Astros’ 157 games at 82-71.

Heading into their game vs. the Astros, the Mariners have a record of 84-72 and have dropped four straight games. In the AL West, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 25-22-2. At home, they have gone 41-34 and 43-38 on the road.

 

  • The Mariners have covered the runline in 48.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
  • The Mariners have been favored in 68.6% of their games and have runline records of 30-45 and 45-36 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Mariners’ 156 games at 79-74.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Cristian Javier 29 29 151 9-4 4.64 1.28 25


The Astros will turn to starter Cristian Javier who has an overall record of 9-4. After 29 appearances, his ERA is 4.64 and he has a K/9 figure of 8.86. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.70 and an OBP of .299.

In his most recent outing, Cristian Javier faced the Orioles and allowed one run on three hits across five innings. Although he didn’t get the win or the loss, his team, the Astros, won the game by a score of 2-1.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
George Kirby 29 29 178 11-10 3.58 1.06 22


With an overall record of 11-10, George Kirby gets the start for Seattle. His ERA stands at 3.58 with a K/9 figure of 8.11 after making 29 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.46 and an OBP of .267.

Seattle is hoping that George Kirby can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Athletics (6-3) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with three earned runs on eight hits across seven innings.

Astros vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

Through 157 games the Astros are 5th in the league at 5.1 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Houston is 6th having gone deep 217 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .259, including .258 on the road and .245 at home.

Houston Astros Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Kyle Tucker .281 .367 .514 110 29 29
Alex Bregman .259 .362 .434 96 24 3
Yordan Alvarez .297 .411 .593 96 30 0


Houston Astros Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Yordan Alvarez .375 6 4 2 .938
Chas McCormick .208 3 2 2 .708
Kyle Tucker .217 3 2 1 .650
José Abreu .271 4 3 1 .667
Jose Altuve .287 5 1 0 .287


The Mariners have played 156 games so far and are ranked 12th in the league with an average of 4.7 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they are 11th (203) and their overall batting average stands at .243. This includes a BA of .243 on the road and .234 at home.

Seattle Mariners Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Julio Rodríguez .283 .341 .494 101 31 36
Teoscar Hernández .263 .312 .446 92 26 7
J.P. Crawford .265 .377 .430 58 17 2


Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Cal Raleigh .163 3 3 1 .362
Jarred Kelenic .312 2 1 0 .562
Teoscar Hernández .208 3 2 1 .396
J.P. Crawford .263 5 3 1 .412
Julio Rodríguez .188 3 3 0 .312


Free MLB Pick

I’m banking on Cristian Javier’s historical numbers versus this lineup. Take Houston +124

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