Astros vs. Mariners Total Bet 7/24/22

by | Jul 24, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Sunday, July 24th, 04:10 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: ATT SportsNet-SW

Money Line: Astros -112 / Mariners -108

Total Line: 7.0 Find the best sign-up promotions >>> Why redeposit and get NOTHING when you can get a 100% real cash bonus?

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Framber Valdez (8-4, 2.66)
Seattle: Robbie Ray (8-6, 3.54)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jake Meyers CF
Aledmys Díaz LF
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Jeremy Peña SS
Framber Valdez P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Kyle Lewis RF
Cal Raleigh C
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Jesse Winker LF
Adam Frazier 2B
J.P. Crawford SS
Carlos Santana 1B
Julio Rodriguez CF
Ty France 1B
Robbie Ray P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 63-32-0 SU / OU 33-59-3 / Run Line W/L 50-45-0
Seattle Mariners: 51-44-0 SU / OU 44-49-2 / Run Line W/L 49-46-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Houston Astros on Sunday, July 24th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-112), with an OU line set at 7.0.

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Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Houston will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Mariners by the score of 3-1. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 4 hits. On offense, Houston’s lineup put together a total of 7 hits, leading to 3 runs. Heading into their last game, Houston was the betting favorite at -157.0. Through 79 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 70.0%. Together, the Astros and Mariners stayed below the over-under line set at 7.0 runs. With this result, Houston’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 33-59-3.

The Astros are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +7. In their last 5 contests, Houston is averaging 4.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.43. So far, Houston has won over half of their 32 series played, going 21-9-2.

The Mariners will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 3-1 to the Astros. For the game, the pitching staff held the Astros to 3 runs on 7 hits. At the plate, the Mariners only came through for 1 run on 4 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Seattle came into the game as the underdog, getting 142.0. So far, the team has gone into 47 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 43.0%. With this result, the Mariners and Astros combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 44-49-2.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +5 (last 5). Seattle is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.0 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.08. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 16-13-1.

Pitching Matchup

Houston will roll with Framber Valdez (8-4) as their starter. In his previous outings, Valdez has lasted an average of 6.39 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.66. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.206. Home runs have not been an issue for Valdez, as he is giving up just 0.47 HR/9. In terms of strikeouts, Framber Valdez has a strong strikeout percentage of 22.0%, including a per game average of 5.67. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Valdez is averaging 3.37 free passes per outing.

The Seattle Mariners will send Robbie Ray to the mound with an overall record of 8-6. To date, Ray has an ERA of 3.54 while lasting an average of 6.16 innings per appearance. Ray will take the mound with a BA allowed of 0.211. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Ray is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.38 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Robbie Ray has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28.99%. This has led to an average of 7.11 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.92 walks per outing.

Houston vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners will be their 15th meeting of the season. So far, Houston is leading the season series, 8-6. Through 14 games, the series’ over-under record is 5-9, with the average run total sitting at 9.37 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.07 runs. Going back to last year, Houston won the season series, 11 games to 8. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 11-7. Last year, the Astros and Mariners averaged 9.37 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.79 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
  • Seattle is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s American League matchup between Houston and Seattle, the oddsmakers suggest this game could go either way. However, my favorite bet is to take the under at 7 runs. When looking back at Framber Valdez’s last 4 starts, not one game has surpassed 6 runs. With Robbie Ray on the other side, I expect runs to be hard to come by.

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