Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Analysis & Pick

by | Last updated May 17, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Tuesday, May 17th, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
Money Line: Astros +100/ Red Sox -120 (BetNow)
Total Line: 8


Houston: Jose Urquidy (2-1, 4.40)
Red Sox: Nathan Eovaldi (1-1, 3.15)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Alex Bregman 3B
Yordan Alvarez DH
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Kyle Tucker RF
Jeremy Pena SS
Chas McCormick CF
Martin Maldonado

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Enrique Hernandez CF
Rafael Devers
Jose Martinez
Xander Bogaerts
Trevor Story
Franchy Cordero
Christian Vasquez
Jackie Bradley JR


Houston Astros: 23-13-0 SU / OU 10-26-0 / Run Line W/L 19-17-0
Boston Red Sox: 14-21-0 SU / OU 11-21-3 / Run Line W/L 18-17-0

The Boston Red Sox host the Houston Astros on Tuesday, May 17th at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 7:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board has the Red Sox as the favorite at -120 on the moneyline.

Recent Form

The Houston Astros are coming off a 6-3 loss in last night’s game vs Boston. Heading into the 8th inning, the game was tied up at 3-3, but a 3-run inning from the Red Sox was more than enough to hand the Astors a loss. Jake Odorizzi went 5 innings, giving up just 1 run.

After rattling off 11 straight wins, the Astros have dropped 2 of their past 3 games. In these two losses, the team’s pitching staff combined to give up 13 and 6 runs.

In last night’s win, Red Sox starter Garrett Whitlock went 5 innings, giving up just 2 runs on 2 hits. After his departure, the Boston Bullpen covered the final 4 innings, giving up just 1 additional run. Xander Bogarts drove in 2 of the team’s runs.

The Red Sox’ win over Houston was their 3rd victory over their past 4 games. This includes picking up a series win over the Rangers. Aside from scoring just 1 run in the finale vs the Rangers, the Red Sox have been swinging the bats well. Over their past 4 games, the team is averaging 6.25 runs.


Will Rodgers Sports HandicapperI won my last two MLB playoff picks and am going for three straight on Friday in Game 1 of the World Series! I had a sparkling run down the stretch (in the regular season), and look to finish in the same fashion in the postseason. Hop on board now!

Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will turn to starter Jose Urquidy, with an overall record of 2-1 and a 4.40 ERA. In his six appearances, he has 4 walks compared to 19 strikeouts. Opposing hitters have combined to hit .296 against Urquidy, including 4 home runs.

Once again, right-hander Nathan Eovaldi has been one of the team’s best starting pitchers. Even though his record is just 1-1, he has thrown the ball well with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.08.

Houston vs Philadelphia History

Yesterday’s matchup was the first meeting of the season between Houston and Boston. With the win, the Red Sox covered the spread at -1.5 runs. The game also finished below the posted betting line of 9.5 runs.

Arizona at LA Dodgers 5/17/22 Best Bet >>>

Betting Trends

  • Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.
  • Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games.
  • Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox Prediction

Once again, the Boston Red Sox are the favorite to pick up the win over Houston, getting -120 on the moneyline. However, I’m turning to the over-under for this bet, as I expect this to be a high-scoring game. On the season, Houston starter Jose Urquidy has an elevated expected ERA of 6.28. In addition, Nathan Eovaldi’s xERA of 4.25 is higher than expected. I recommend the over at 8 runs.

Free MLB Pick: Over 8 Runs

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!