Astros vs. Yankees Runline Wager

by | Last updated Jun 25, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
Date: Saturday, June 25th, 01:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: ATT SportsNet-SW
Money Line: Astros +126 / Yankees -150 (Find Dimeline Sportsbooks)
Total Line: 8.5


Houston: Cristian Javier (4-3, 3.07)
New York: Gerrit Cole (6-1, 3.14)

Astros Projected Lineup

Aledmys Díaz SS
Jose Siri CF
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Cristian Javier P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Jose Trevino C
Josh Donaldson 3B
Joey Gallo RF
Aaron Hicks LF
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
DJ LeMahieu 3B
Aaron Judge CF
Gerrit Cole P


Houston Astros: 44-26-0 SU / OU 23-45-2 / Run Line W/L 35-35-0
New York Yankees: 52-19-0 SU / OU 33-37-1 / Run Line W/L 36-35-0

The New York Yankees host the Houston Astros on Saturday, June 25th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-150), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

Houston looks to keep things rolling, after taking down the Yankees by the score of 3-1. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Yankees to 1 run on 5 hits. On offense, Houston’s lineup put together a total of 5 hits, leading to 3 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 112.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Astros and Yankees stayed below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. This outcome pushed Houston’s over-under record further below .500 at 23-45-2.

The Astros come into this game with a 4-1 record of their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +10. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.33 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 5.2 So far, Houston has won over half of their 23 series played, going 13-8-2.

In New York’s last outing, they fell by a score of 3-1 to the Astros. For the game, the pitching staff held the Astros to 3 runs on 5 hits. At the plate, the Yankees only came through for 1 run on 5 hits. New York, dropped the game despite being favored at -122.0. So far, the team has won 73.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Yankees and Astros’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 33-37-1.

Across their last 5 contests, the Yankees are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +1. New York is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.2 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 5.08. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 18-2-3.

Pitching Matchup

Cristian Javier gets the start for the Astros, with an overall record of 4-3. Through 13 appearances, Javier has an ERA of just 3.07 while averaging 4.25 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.208 against him. Home runs have not been an issue for Javier, as he is giving up just 0.65 HR/9. In terms of strikeouts, Cristian Javier has a strong strikeout percentage of 28.9%, including a per game average of 5.23. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.72 walks per outing.

New York will roll with Gerrit Cole (6-1) as their starter. Heading into the game, Cole has appeared in 14 contests, posting an ERA of just 3.14. On average, he pitches 5.72 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.200. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Cole is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.24 homers per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Gerrit Cole is averaging 7.36, on a strikeout percentage of 32.0%. Command has been a problem for Cole, as he is giving up 2.35 walks per outing.

Houston vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Houston and New York each have 1 win. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-1. The average run total in these games is 8.33 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 1.5 runs. Dating back to last season, the New York picked up 4 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-3, with the average run total being 8.33 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.67 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
  • NY Yankees is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games

Houston Astros at New York Yankees Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s matchup between New York and Houston, both clubs have substantial leads in their respective divisions. Look for the Yankees to bounce back with a win, as Gerrit Cole should be able to keep the Astros in check. For today’s game, I like New York to cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick:Yankees -1.5 Runline

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